NZD Surges on Hawkish RBNZ, Dollar and Yen Pressured
Action Insight Daily Report 5-26-21

NZD Surges on Hawkish RBNZ, Dollar and Yen Pressured

Euro surges broadly today, while German DAX and Stoxx 600 hit new record highs. Strong German business climate reading gave sentiments a strong lift. For now the common currency is only out-performed by New Zealand Dollar, and followed by Swiss Franc. On the other hand, positive market sentiment makes Yen the weakest one, followed by Dollar and then Sterling.

Technically, EUR/USD's break of 1.2244 confirms resumption of rise from 1.1703 for 1.2348 high. EUR/JPY also breaks 133.42 resistance to resume medium term up trend. Now, one focus will be on EUR/CHF. Euro's underlying strength would really be confirmed if 1.1026 resistance is taken out firmly to indicate completion of consolidation pattern from 1.1149.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.09%. DAX is up 0.69%. CAC is up 0.10%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0142 at -0.151. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.67%. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.75%. China Shanghai SSE rose 2.40%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.72%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0070 to 0.075.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2219; (P) 1.2242; (R1) 1.2273; More....

EUR/USD's rally is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 1.2348 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 1.6039 for 1.2555 cluster resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.2160 support will delay the bullish case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside to extend the consolidation pattern from 1.2348 with another falling leg.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Trade Balance (NZD) Apr 388M 90M 33M 39M
23:50 JPY Corporate Service Price Index Y/Y Apr 1.00% 1.50% 0.70%
00:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Apr 0.20% 0.40% 0.50%
01:30 AUD Construction Work Done Q1 2.40% 2.20% -0.90% -1.50%
02:00 NZD RBNZ Interest Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25% 0.25%
03:00 NZD RBNZ Press Conference
08:00 CHF ZEW Expectations May 67.4 68.3
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.0M 1.3M