Markets in Tight Range ahead of Fed Hike, Dollar Firm
Action Insight Daily Report 5-4-22

Markets in Tight Range ahead of Fed Hike, Dollar Firm

Overall, the markets are pretty quiet as focuses turns to Fed's rate hike and guidance today. Dollar is consolidating in tight range, preparing for the next move. For now, Aussie and Loonie are the stronger ones for the week, but they only have a slim advantage over the greenback. Sterling is the worst, followed by Swiss Franc and Kiwi. Yen is mixed, also awaiting the next move in treasury yields.

Technically, main focuses will be on Dollar pairs today. In particular, break of 1.0470 support in EUR/USD, 1.2410 support in GBP/USD, 0.7029 support in AUD/USD, and 131.24 resistance in USD/JPY would confirm that Dollar buying is back. It would be a strong sign of underlying strength in Dollar if these levels are taken out simultaneously.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Hong Kong HSI is down -1.23%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.05%. Japan and China are on holiday. Overnight, DOW rose 0.20%. S&P 500 rose 0.48%. NASDAQ rose 0.22%. 10-year yield dropped -0.036 to 2.960.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7045; (P) 0.7097; (R1) 0.7146; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 0.7029 temporary low is extending. Further decline is still expected as long as 0.7228 minor resistance holds. As noted before, fall from 0.7660 is seen as the third leg of the larger correction from 0.8006. Below 0.7029 will target 0.6966 low first. Firm break there will confirm this bearish case and target 0.6756 medium term fibonacci level next. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.7228 should indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

BoE Preview: MPC Won't Deviate Much from Recent Hawkish Path

BoE Meeting Preview – A Trade-off Between Growth and Inflation

Fed to Speed Up Rate Hikes, But How Far Will Powell Go?

Technical Outlook and Review

AUD/USD Could Struggle Above 0.7200, Gold Dives

Gold Makes Move Before FOMC Meeting

RBA Lifts Cash Rate by 25bps – More to Come Including 40bps in June

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
Emerging Risks Could Submerge Global Growth
May Flashlight for the FOMC Blackout Period
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 AUD AiG Performance of Construction Index Apr 55.9 56.5
22:45 NZD Employment Change Q1 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 0.00%
22:45 NZD Unemployment Rate Q1 3.20% 3.10% 3.20%
22:45 NZD Labour Cost Index Q/Q Q1 0.70% 0.70% 0.70%
23:01 GBP BRC Shop Price Index Y/Y Mar 2.70% 2.10%
01:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Mar 1.60% 0.50% 1.80%
06:00 EUR Germany Trade Balance (EUR) Mar 12.3B 11.5B
07:45 EUR Italy Services PMI Apr 53.9 52.1
07:50 EUR France Services PMI Apr F 58.8 58.8
07:55 EUR Germany Services PMI Apr F 57.9 57.9
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Apr F 57.7 57.7
08:30 GBP M4 Money Supply M/M Mar 0.80% 1.00%
08:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals Mar 70K 71K
09:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M Mar -0.20% 0.30%
12:15 USD ADP Employment Change Apr 370K 455K
12:30 CAD International Merchandise Trade (CAD) Mar 4.0B 2.7B
12:30 USD Trade Balance (USD) Mar -106.6B -89.2B
13:45 USD Services PMI Apr F 54.7 54.7
14:00 USD ISM Services PMI Apr 59 58.3
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -0.7M 0.7M
18:00 USD Fed Interest Rate Decision 1.00% 0.50%
18:30 USD FOMC Press Conference