Dollar Down, Stocks Surged after Powell Surprise, BoE Next
Action Insight Daily Report 5-5-22

Dollar Down, Stocks Surged after Powell Surprise, BoE Next

Dollar dropped notably overnight after Fed Chair Jerome Powell surprised the markets by ruling out a 75bps rate hike. The comment also boosted US stocks sharply higher. Risk-on sentiment helped commodity currencies rebound. But European majors are lagging behind. Yen is so far mixed, with slight retreat in US 10-year yield. BoE rate decision would provide more volatility to the markets, and non-farm payrolls tomorrow too.

Technically, it's still early to call for a deep correction in Dollar, no to mention a bearish reversal. Nevertheless, AUD/USD's breach of 0.7228 minor resistance suggest short term bottoming. USD/CAD could also break through 1.2717 support to indicate short term topping too. Other levels to watch will include 1.0756 support turned resistance in EUR/USD and 126.91 support in USD/JPY.

In Asia, Japan is on holiday. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.52%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.76%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.16%. Overnight, DOW rose 2.81%. S&P 500 rose 2.99%. NASDAQ rose 3.19%. 10-year yield dropped -0.043 to 2.917.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.79; (P) 130.04; (R1) 130.38; More...

USD/JPY dips notably as correction from 131.24 extends, but stays well above 126.91 support. Near term outlook remains bullish with further rally expected. On the upside, break of 131.24 will resume recent up trend to 261.8% projection of 109.11 to 116.34 from 114.40 at 133.26. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 126.91 will confirm short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for 121.27/125.09 support zone.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:30 AUD Building Permits M/M Mar -18.50% -12.00% 43.50% 42.00%
01:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Mar 9.31B 7.80B 7.46B 7.44B
01:45 CNY Caixin Services PMI Apr 36.2 40.9 42
06:00 EUR Germany Factory Orders Mar -4.70% -0.50% -2.20% -0.80%
06:30 CHF CPI M/M Apr 0.20% 0.60%
06:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Apr 2.50% 2.40%
06:45 EUR France Industrial Output M/M Mar 0.00% -0.90%
08:30 GBP Services PMI Apr F 58.3 58.3
11:00 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision 1.00% 0.75%
11:00 GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 8--0--1 8--0--1
11:30 USD Challenger Job Cuts Y/Y Apr -30.10%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Apr 29) 176K 180K
12:30 USD Nonfarm Productivity Q1 P -2.30% 6.60%
12:30 USD Unit Labor Costs Q1 P 7.40% 0.90%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 69B 40B