Aussie Mildly Lower on Tensions with China, Sterling Steady ahead of BoE
Action Insight Daily Report 5-6-21

Aussie Mildly Lower on Tensions with China, Sterling Steady ahead of BoE

Australian Dollar trades generally lower today, after China announced to "indefinitely" suspended all  activities under the China-Australia Strategic Economic Dialogue. But the spike on Aussie was relatively shallow and short-lived. Traders are quick to remember that the tariffs by China on some Aussie products didn't had much material impacts on the latter's export performance. Additionally, European Commission announced earlier this week to pause all efforts to promote the  China comprehensive agreement on investment. Such developments also had little impact on Euro's exchange rate. Meanwhile, Sterling is mixed, awaiting BoE rate decision, and any hints on tapering of asset purchases.

Technically, Aussie is still bounded in near term consolidations against Dollar, Euro and Yen. Another rise through 0.7815 resistance is in favor in AUD/USD with 0.7676 minor support intact. But we're not anticipating a break of 0.8006 high for the near term. EUR/AUD is also staying in range of 1.5250/5689, and the sideway consolidation could extend for a while. As for AUD/JPY, further rise to retest 85.43 is mildly in favor with 83.91 minor support intact. Though, current momentum doesn't warrant a break out from there yet.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is trading up 1.72%. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.17%. China Shanghais SSE is down -0.22%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.26%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0048 at 0.090. Overnight, DOW rose 0.29%. S&P 500 rose 0.07%. NASDAQ dropped -0.37%. 10-year yield dropped -0.008 to 1.584.

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USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2239; (P) 1.2277; (R1) 1.2301; More...

USD/CAD's down trends resumed by breaking 1.2265 temporary low and intraday bias is back on the downside. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2880 to 1.2363 from 1.2653 at 1.2136. On the upside, however, break of 1.2350 minor resistance should now indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias would then be turned back to the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2524).

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Mar 17.90% -18.20% -19.30%
23:50 JPY BoJ Minutes
1:00 NZD ANZ Business Confidence May P 7 -8.4 -2.0
6:00 EUR Germany Factory Orders M/M Mar 1.90% 1.20%
8:00 EUR ECB Economic Bulletin
8:30 GBP Services PMI Apr F 60.1 60.1
9:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M Mar 1.40% 3.00%
11:00 GBP BoE Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10%
11:00 GBP BoE Asset Purchase Facility 875B 895B
11:00 GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 0--0--9 0--0--9
11:00 GBP MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes 0--0--9 0--0--9
11:30 USD Challenger Job Cuts Y/Y Apr -86.20%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Apr 30) 540K 553K
12:30 USD Nonfarm Productivity Q1 P 3.50% -4.20%
12:30 USD Unit Labor Costs Q1 P -0.70% 6.00%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 15B