Dollar Rally Still Indecisive Despite Expectations of 75bps Fed Hikes
Action Insight Daily Report 6-14-22

Dollar Rally Still Indecisive Despite Expectations of 75bps Fed Hikes

Dollar is paring some gains today as markets digest near term moves. But the greenback remains the strongest for the week, as markets are adding bets to more aggressive rate hikes by Fed this week, and at next month's meeting. Yen is so far the next strongest, as supported by risk aversion. Aussie is so far the worst performing one, followed by Sterling and Kiwi. Euro and Swiss Franc are mixed. While the greenback should continue to be strong, the dynamics between other currencies would be depend on the outcome of other central bank meetings including BoE, SNB and BoJ.

Technically, GBP/USD's break of 1.2154 support confirmed down trend resumption. But EUR/GBP is holding below 0.8617 resistance. So the Pound's weakness is not too overwhelming yet. On the other hand, EUR/USD is holding above 1.0348 support. USD/CHF is staying below 1.0063 resistance. Thus, Dollar's strength is also not too decisive yet. Let's see how things go.

In Asia, Nikkei dropped -1.32%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.23%. China Shanghai SSE is up 1.02%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.83%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0073 to 0.262. Overnight, DOW dropped -2.79%. S&P 500 dropped -3.88%. NASDAQ dropped -4.68%. 10-year yield rose 0.21 to 3.366, and broke through 2018 high at 3.248.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0366; (P) 1.0443 (R1) 1.0486; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the downside for retesting 1.0348 and 1.0339 long term support. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. Next target is long term projection level at 1.0090. On the upside, above 1.0532 minor resistance will delay the bearish case, and turn intraday bias neutral first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Currency Pair of the Week: GBP/USD

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence May 6 10
01:30 AUD NAB Business Conditions May 16 20
04:30 JPY Industrial Production M/M Apr F -1.50% -1.30% -1.30%
06:00 GBP Claimant Count Change May -19.7K -42.5K -56.9K -65.5K
06:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Apr 3.80% 3.60% 3.70%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Including Bonus 3M/Y Apr 6.80% 7.60% 7.00%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Excluding Bonus 3M/Y Apr 4.20% 4.00% 4.20%
06:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M May F 0.90% 0.90% 0.90%
06:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y May F 7.90% 7.90% 7.90%
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Jun -27.5 -34.3
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Jun -31 -36.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Jun -24.3 -29.5
10:00 USD NFIB Business Optimism Index May 93.1 93.2
12:30 USD PPI M/M May 0.80% 0.50%
12:30 USD PPI Y/Y May 10.90% 11.00%
12:30 USD PPI Core M/M May 0.60% 0.40%
12:30 USD PPI Core Y/Y May 8.60% 8.80%
12:30 CAD Manufacturing Sales M/M Apr 2.10% 2.50%