Dollar Extending Rebound in Quiet Markets, Central Bankers Triggered No Volatility

Action Insight Daily Report 6-29-23

Dollar Extending Rebound in Quiet Markets, Central Bankers Triggered No Volatility

In today's Asian trading session, forex markets are experiencing a lull, with most of the major currency pairs and crosses moving within the boundaries set by yesterday's trading ranges. The anticipated volatility sparked by the robust remarks from the heads of the ECB, Fed, BoE, and BoJ during the ECB forum overnight failed to materialize. Their unified message underscored the ongoing fight against inflation amidst a landscape of uncertainties, yet the markets remain unresponsive. While major US indexes closed with mixed results, Asian markets seem to lack a clear common trajectory.

Taking stock of the week's movements thus far, Dollar leads as the strongest currency, displaying promising gains against commodity currencies. However, it would need to make further rally against Euro and Swiss Franc to substantiate its underlying strength. Euro trails as the second-strongest currency, followed the Swiss Franc, boosted partially by buying against the weakening Sterling. Australian and New Zealand Dollars sit at the bottom of the pack as the week's worst performers, while Japanese Yen remains mixed, digesting its recent losses.

Technically, Copper's fall from 3.9051 is extending and the development reinforces the case that corrective rebound from 3.5393 has completed already. Further decline is now in favor as long as 3.7867 minor resistance holds, back to retest 3.5393 low. Any downside acceleration could drag AUD/USD further towards 0.6457 support.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 0.37%. Hong Kong HSI is down -1.35%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.18%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.06%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.002 at 0.385. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.22%. S&P 500 dropped -0.04%. NASDAQ rose 0.27%. 10-year yield fell -0.058 to 3.710.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3207; (P) 1.3242; (R1) 1.3294; More....

USD/CAD's break of 1.3224 minor resistance should confirm short term bottoming at 1.3115, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.3229 support turned resistance. Firm break there will extend the rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 1.3389). On the downside, break of 1.3115 is needed to confirm resumption of recent decline. Otherwise, more consolidative trading should be seen first, in case of retreat.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y May 5.70% 5.20% 5.00% 5.10%
01:00 NZD ANZ Business Confidence Jun -18 -31.1
01:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M May 0.70% 0.10% 0.00%
05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Jun 36.2 36.2 36
08:00 EUR ECB Economic Bulletin
08:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals May 50K 49K
08:30 GBP M4 Money Supply M/M May -0.10% 0.00%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Jun 96 96.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence Jun -5.5 -5.2
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services Sentiment Jun 5.5 7
09:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Jun F -16.1 -16.1
12:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Jun P 0.20% -0.10%
12:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Jun P 6.30% 6.10%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 23) 265K 264K
12:30 USD GDP Annualized Q1 F 1.30% 1.30%
12:30 USD GDP Price Index Q1 F 4.20% 4.20%
14:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M May -0.30% 0.00%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 83B 95B