Dollar Rebounded Strongly and Broadly as Focus Turns to Non-Farm Payrolls
Action Insight Daily Report 6-4-21

Dollar Rebounded Strongly and Broadly as Focus Turns to Non-Farm Payrolls

Dollar rose broadly overnight, following solid job and services data, and remains firm in Asian session. Nevertheless, the real test lies in today's non-farm payroll report. As of now, Yen is the second strongest for the week, following the green back. Canadian Dollar is the third strongest, and will face the test of its own job data too. Kiwi and Aussie are the worst performing, together with Sterling.

Technically, AUD/USD's break of 0.7673 support suggests that the pattern from 0.8006 is now in its third leg, targeting 0.7530 support again. To seal the case of near term Dollar reversal, we should ideally see decisive break of 1.4090 support and GBP/USD, as well as 0.9046 resistance in USD/CHF today. Gold's break of 1882.07 support overnight should confirm short term topping at 1916.06. However, a strong and quick rebound above this support turned resistance could be a warning for the Dollar bulls.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -0.41%. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.17%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.14%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.15%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0014 at 0.088. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.07%. S&P 500 dropped d-0.36%. NASDAQ dropped -1.03%. 10-year yield rose 0.034 to 1.625.

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AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7620; (P) 0.7687; (R1) 0.7728; More...

AUD/USD's break of 0.7673 support suggests that rebound from 0.7530 has completed at 0.7890 already. More importantly, corrective pattern from 0.8006 high should now be in it's third leg. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.7530 support first. Break there will target 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7530 from 0.7890 at 0.7414. We'd expect strong support from there, which coincides with 0.7413 key resistance turned support, to bring reversal.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 JPY Household Spending Y/Y Apr 13.00% 8.90% 6.20%
08:30 GBP Construction PMI May 62.3 61.6
09:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M Apr -0.90% 2.70%
12:30 CAD Net Change in Employment May -20.3K -207.1K
12:30 CAD Unemployment Rate May 8.20% 8.10%
12:30 CAD Labor Productivity Q/Q Q1 -2.00%
12:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls May 621K 266K
12:30 USD Unemployment Rate May 5.90% 6.10%
12:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings M/M May 0.20% 0.70%
14:00 USD Factory Orders M/M Apr 0.40% 1.10%
14:00 CAD Ivey Purchasing Managers Index May 62.3 60.6