New Zealand Dollar Surges on Strong CPI, Aussie and Loonie Lag Behind
Action Insight Daily Report 7-16-21

New Zealand Dollar Surges on Strong CPI, Aussie and Loonie Lag Behind

New Zealand Dollar surges broadly again today as decade high CPI reading prompted more speculations on RBNZ rate hikes. That somewhat helps stabilizes the selloff in Aussie and Loonie. On the other hand, Yen appears to be softening slightly as rally lost steam. Dollar, Euro and Sterling are mixed. As for the week, Kiwi is overwhelmingly the strongest one, but Loonie and Aussie are the worst performers so far.

Technically, focus will stays on Dollar today, especially with retail sales data featured. USD/CAD's break of 1.2589 resistance suggests resumption of rally from 1.2005. But no corresponding movement is seen in other Dollar pairs yet. Based on this week's development elsewhere, we'd pay special attention to AUD/USD's reaction to 0.7413 key support level, which it's still defending. Sustained break there would indicate deeper medium term correction is underway, probably back to around 0.7.

In Asia, Nikkei closed down -0.98%. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.31%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.60%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.41%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0083 at 0.023. Overnight, DOW rose 0.15%. S&P 500 dropped -0.33%. NASDAQ dropped -0.70%. 10-year yield dropped -0.059 to 1.297, back below 1.3 handle.

Full Report Here

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Central Bank Views | China Watch | Oil N' Gold | Special Topics

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2527; (P) 1.2570; (R1) 1.2639; More...

USD/CAD's rise from 1.2005 resumes by taking out 1.2589 today. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.2653 structure resistance. Decisive break there would confirm larger bullish reversal and target 1.3022 fibonacci level next. On the downside, break of 1.2423 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay mildly bullish in case of retreat.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
NZ: Review of June Quarter CPI and RBNZ OCR Forecast Update
We Have Revised Our AUD Outlook
ECB Strategic Review: Striving for Symmetry
ECB Strategic Review: Striving for Symmetry
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 NZD BusinessNZ Manufacturing Index Jun 60.7 58.6
22:45 NZD CPI Q/Q Q2 1.30% 0.70% 0.80%
3:00 JPY BoJ Interest Rate Decision -0.10% -0.10% -0.10%
8:00 EUR Italy Trade Balance (EUR) May 5.87B
9:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) May 8.2B 9.4B
9:00 EUR Eurozone CPI M/M Jun F 0.30% 0.30%
9:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Jun F 1.90% 1.90%
9:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core M/M Jun F 0.30% 0.30%
9:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Jun F 0.90% 0.90%
12:15 CAD Housing Starts Jun 270.0K 275.9K
12:30 CAD Foreign Securities Purchases (CAD) May 9.95B
12:30 CAD Wholesale Sales M/M May -0.90% 0.40%
12:30 USD Retail Sales M/M Jun -0.60% -1.30%
12:30 USD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Jun 0.40% -0.70%
14:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Jul P 86.5 85.5
14:00 USD Business Inventories May 0.40% -0.20%