Yen Softens as Rebound Fades; Loonie Looks to Canadian CPI

Action Insight Daily Report 7-16-24

Yen Softens as Rebound Fades; Loonie Looks to Canadian CPI

Yen weakened broadly during Asian session today, giving back some of last week's strong gains that were reportedly driven by Japan's market intervention. Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi repeated in a press conference that it is crucial for currency rates to move "stably" and reflect economic fundamentals. He reiterated the government's commitment to taking necessary measures against speculative moves in Yen's exchange rate.

Despite these warnings, it appears Japan might be comfortable with Yen at its current levels and is unlikely to take further action to push it higher against Dollar. If this view is correct, the range is probably set for USD/JPY to consolidate in the near term.

Meanwhile, Canadian dollar is in the spotlight today with the release of Canada's CPI data. In May, core inflation measures unexpectedly jumped just after BoC became the first G7 central bank to cut interest rates on June 5. However, subsequent job data revealed minimal growth and a rise in unemployment rate. If today's CPI data show that disinflation is back on track, BoC could be in a position to cut interest rates again next week...

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.32; (P) 157.88; (R1) 158.57; More...

USD/JPY quickly recovered after dipping to 157.16. With 4H MACD crossed above signal line, intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the downside, break of 157.16 and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 157.72) will bring deeper correction to 38.2% retracement of 140.25 to 161.94 at 163.65. But strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 159.44 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound towards 161.94 high.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Gold Regains Strength: Poised for Continued Gains?

China Q2 2024: Diverging Sectors and Risks

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Soars Amidst Surging ETF Inflows

Natural Gas Wave Analysis

GBPNZD Wave Analysis

BoC BoS: Business and Consumer Sentiment Remained Downbeat in the Second Quarter

Bullish Pound Eyes $1.30 Ahead of UK Inflation Test

News of the Week (July 15—19): EURGBP Outlook!

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
A September Fed Rate Cut Could Lead to Easing Spree During end-2024
alt
What Would RBNZ Need to See to Start Cutting?
alt
June CPI: September Rate Cut Incoming
alt
U.K.: Firming Growth, Lingering Inflation, Suggest Cautious Bank Of England
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
04:30 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M May -0.4% 0.20% 1.90% 2.20%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) May 20.3B 19.4B
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Jul 44.3 47.5
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Jul -73 -73.8
09:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Jul 50.2 51.3
12:15 CAD Housing Starts Y/Y Jun 259K 265K
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Jun 0.10% 0.60%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Jun 2.90%
12:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Jun 2.70% 2.80%
12:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Jun 2.80% 2.90%
12:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Jun 2.40% 2.40%
12:30 USD Retail Sales M/M Jun -0.20% 0.10%
12:30 USD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Jun 0.10% -0.10%
12:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Jun 0.20% -0.40%
14:00 USD Business Inventories May 0.30% 0.30%
14:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Jul 44 43