Dollar Broadly Lower as Fed Signals Slower Tightening Ahead
Action Insight Daily Report 7-28-22

Dollar Broadly Lower as Fed Signals Slower Tightening Ahead

Dollar was sold off broadly overnight and stays weak in Asian session. Markets well received Fed Chair Jerome Powell's message that tightening pace is going to slow ahead. While stocks also rebounded, Yen reacted more to falling benchmark treasury yields. As for the week, the greenback is now the worst performer. Euro follows as second worst on worries over the impact of gas crunch. Sterling is the strongest one, helped by buying against Euro. Australian Dollar is the second strongest.

Technically, there are three levels to watch to confirm that Dollar selling is here to stay. Firstly, break of 1.0277 minor resistance in EUR/USD will resume the rebound from 0.9951. Further break of 1.0348 support turned resistance will raise the chance of a near term reversal. Secondly, firm break of 134.73 support in USD/JPY will indicate that larger correction is underway, for 126.35/131.34 support zone. Thirdly, break of 1745.21 resistance in Gold will also affirm the case of bullish reversal, after drawing support from 1682.60 cluster level.

In Asia, Nikkei rose 0.32%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.42%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.46%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.34%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.010 at 0.205. Overnight, DOW rose 1.37%. S&P 500 rose 2.62%. NASDAQ rose 4.06%. 10-year yield dropped -0.053 to 2.734.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.15; (P) 136.80; (R1) 137.28; More...

USD/JPY's fall from 139.37 extends lower today and focus is now on 134.73 support. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 134.73 will argue that it's already in correction to medium term up trend. Deeper decline would then be seen through 55 day EMA to 126.35/131.34 support zone. On the upside, above 137.44 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 139.37 resistance instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:00 NZD ANZ Business Confidence Jul -56.7 -62.6
01:30 AUD Import Price Index Q/Q Q2 4.30% 1.90% 5.10%
01:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Jun 0.20% 0.40% 0.90%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Jul 102 104
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence Jul 6.9 7.4
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services Sentiment Jul 14.5 14.8
09:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Jul F -27 -27
12:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Jul P 0.60% 0.10%
12:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Jul P 7.40% 7.60%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Jul 22) 248K 251K
12:30 USD GDP Annualized Q2 P 0.90% -1.60%
12:30 USD GDP Price Index Q2 P 7.20% 8.30%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 19B 32B