Asian Markets Lifted by Positive BoJ Tankan Survey, Overlook Weak Chinese Manufacturing Data

Action Insight Daily Report 7-3-23

Asian Markets Lifted by Positive BoJ Tankan Survey, Overlook Weak Chinese Manufacturing Data

Asian markets began the trading week on a high note, largely driven by a rise in Japan's Nikkei index, which was buoyed by encouraging results from BoJ Tankan Survey. Meanwhile, market participants seemed to overlook weak data from China's manufacturing sector. Australian and New Zealand dollars led the other currencies, experiencing broad gains, closely trailed by Canadian Dollar. Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc, however, traded with a weak undertone. Euro, Dollar, and British Pound exhibited mixed trading for the time being.

Although US traders may adopt a more relaxed stance due to the long July 4th weekend, trading may not be entirely subdued. RBA's interest rate decision, scheduled for tomorrow, could indeed stir up some market volatility. Besides, the week is packed with significant economic data releases, including ISM indexes and the much-anticipated non-farm payroll report.

From a technical analysis perspective, the AUD/JPY pair will be of particular interest in the next 24 hours. For now, deeper decline is in favor as long as 96.48 minor resistance holds. In case of another fall, the focus is on whether it could depend 38.2% retracement of 90.24 to 97.66 at 94.82. Nevertheless, break of 96.48 would likely prompt stronger rally back to retest 97.66 high.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.00; (P) 144.53; (R1) 144.86; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidations below 145.06. Break of 55 4H EMA (now at 143.40) could trigger deeper correction. But further rally will remain in favor as long as 140.90 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 145.06 will resume larger rise to 161.8% projection of 127.20 to 137.90 from 129.62 at 146.93.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Building Permits M/M May -2.20% -2.60%
23:50 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturing Index Q2 5 3 1
23:50 JPY Tankan Non - Manufacturing Index Q2 23 22 20
23:50 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook Q2 9 5 3
23:50 JPY Tankan Non - Manufacturing Outlook Q2 20 21 15
23:50 JPY Tankan Large All Industry Capex Q2 13.40% 3.20%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Jun F 49.8 49.8 49.8
01:00 AUD TD Securities Inflation M/M Jun 0.10% 0.90%
01:30 AUD Building Permits M/M May 20.60% 4.90% -8.10% -6.80%
01:45 CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI Jun 50.5 50.2 50.9
06:30 CHF CPI M/M Jun 0.20% 0.30%
06:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Jun 1.80% 2.20%
07:30 CHF Manufacturing PMI Jun 42.8 43.2
07:45 EUR Italy Manufacturing PMI Jun 45.4 45.9
07:50 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Jun F 45.5 45.5
07:55 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Jun F 41 41
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Jun F 43.6 43.6
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Jun F 46.2 46.2
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Jun F 46.3 46.3
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI Jun 47.2 46.9
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid Jun 44.2
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment Index Jun 51.4
14:00 USD Construction Spending M/M May 0.50% 1.20%