Yen Up Slightly After BoJ Hike; Aussie Tumbles on Core Inflation Relief

Action Insight Daily Report 7-31-24

Yen Up Slightly After BoJ Hike; Aussie Tumbles on Core Inflation Relief

Yen rose broadly today after the BoJ raised interest rates for the second time this year, and maintained hawkish bias. However, buying momentum has not been decisive. This lack of strong momentum can be attributed to the fact that the rate hike decision was likely well priced in by the markets. Nikkei's rebound following the announce further indicates that BoJ's move was anticipated. Additionally, traders remain cautious ahead of FOMC rate decision later today, where Fed might signal a rate cut in September.

In contrast, Australian Dollar tumbled broadly following release of quarterly CPI data. Markets and economists showed relief as the trimmed mean CPI slowed in Q2, which overshadowed the rise in headline CPI. The continued core disinflation provides RBA with some room to keep interest rates unchanged next week, avoiding the need for another rate hike.

Overall, Dollar is following Aussie as the second weakest currency of the day so far, with Loonie r trailing in third place. Swiss Franc has emerged as the strongest currency, followed by Yen and then Euro. British pound and Kiwi are positioned in the middle of the performance spectrum...

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 194.86; (P) 197.17; (R1) 198.37; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is back on the downside with breach of 195.84 temporary low. Fall from 208.09 is probably a larger scale correction and should target 185.49 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, on the upside, firm break of 199.45 resistance will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Jun -13.80% -1.70% -1.90%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Jun P -3.60% -4.20% 3.60%
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y Jun 3.70% 3.30% 2.80%
01:00 NZD ANZ Business Confidence Jul 27.1 6.1
01:30 AUD Monthly CPI Y/Y Jun 3.80% 3.80% 4.00%
01:30 AUD CPI Q/Q Q2 1.00% 1.00% 1.00%
01:30 AUD CPI Y/Y Q2 3.80% 3.80% 3.60%
01:30 AUD RBA Trimmed Mean CPI Q/Q Q2 0.80% 0.90% 1.00%
01:30 AUD RBA Trimmed Mean CPI Y/Y Q2 3.90% 4.00% 4.00%
01:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Jun 0.50% 0.30% 0.60%
01:30 AUD Private Sector Credit M/M Jun 0.60% 0.40%
01:30 CNY NBS Manufacturing PMI Jul 49.4 49.3 49.5
01:30 CNY NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI Jul 50.2 50.2 50.5
03:57 JPY BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25% 0.10%
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Jun -6.70% -2.00% -5.30%
05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Jul 36.7 36.5 36.4
06:00 EUR Germany Import Price Index M/M Jun 0.10% 0.00%
07:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Change Jul 16K 19K
07:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Rate Jul 6.00% 6.00%
08:00 CHF UBS Economic Expectations Jul 17.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Jul P 2.40% 2.50%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Jul P 2.80% 2.90%
12:15 USD ADP Employment Change Jul 166K 150K
12:30 USD Employment Cost Index Q2 1.00% 1.20%
12:30 CAD GDP M/M May 0.10% 0.30%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI Jul 44.1 47.4
14:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M Jun 1.60% -2.10%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.6M -3.7M
18:00 USD Fed Interest Rate Decision 5.50% 5.50%
18:30 USD FOMC Press Conference