US-China Tensions Weigh on Market Mood, Strengthen Yen and Dollar

Action Insight Daily Report 7-6-23

US-China Tensions Weigh on Market Mood, Strengthen Yen and Dollar

Yen and Dollar are gaining momentum in today's trading as market sentiment appears to have soured in Asia. The development could be interpreted more as a response to escalating US-China tensions rather than hawkish tone of FOMC minutes released overnight. After all, the minutes just reinforced expectations of further monetary tightening, despite a pause in June. Meanwhile, major US indexes closed only slightly lower, even as treasury yields saw a notable surge.

Australian Dollar is emerging as the day's worst performer so far, trailed by Euro and Canadian Dollar. On the flip side, Swiss Franc is strengthening on risk aversion, while Sterling displays mixed performance, buoyed by buying against Euro. Market participants are keenly awaiting tomorrow's US non-farm payroll report, the key event for the week. However, today's ADP employment and ISM services data may trigger some traders to make early moves.

Technically, AUD/JPY's decline today argues that correction from 97.66 might be ready to resume through 95.14 support. For now, strong support is likely at around 100% projection of 97.66 to 95.14 from 96.81 at 94.29 to complete the correction. But strong break there and downside acceleration below the projection level would raise the chance of larger bearish reversal.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -1.70%. Hong Kong HSI is down -3.08%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.53%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.79%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0072 at 0.394. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.38%. S&P 500 dropped -0.20%. NASDAQ dropped -0.18%. 10-year yield rose 0.087 to 3.945.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.63; (P) 157.18; (R1) 157.56; More....

EUR/JPY's fall from 157.99 is extending lower today and intraday bias is now on the downside with strong break of 55 4H EMA. Deeper correction could be seen to 154.03 support or below. But overall outlook will stay bullish as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds. Larger rally is still expected to resume through 157.99 after the correction completes.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

U.S. Dollar Strength to Continue Until Inflation Beast is Quelled

From "Fast and Furious" to "Frozen" – RBNZ to keep the OCR on hold

NZD/USD Consolidates Gains, US Jobs Report Next

Fed Minutes Send Bond Yields Higher

NZDCAD Wave Analysis

EURGBP Wave Analysis

 

 

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
U.S. Dollar Strength to Continue Until Inflation Beast is Quelled
alt
As Yen Collapses, How Likely is FX Intervention?
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) May 11.79B 10.70B 11.16B
06:00 EUR Germany Factory Orders M/M May 1.50% -0.40%
08:30 GBP Construction PMI Jun 50.9 51.6
09:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M May 0.20% 0.00%
11:30 USD Challenger Job Cuts Jun 286.70%
12:15 USD ADP Employment Change Jun 250K 278K
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 30) 249K 239K
12:30 USD Trade Balance (USD) May -68.2B -74.6B
12:30 CAD Trade Balance (CAD) May 1.5B 1.9B
13:45 USD Services PMI Jun F 54.1 54.1
14:00 USD ISM Services PMI Jun 51.3 50.3
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.0M -9.6M