Yen Rises Broadly as Hong Kong Free Fall Triggers Risk Aversion in Asia
Action Insight Daily Report 7-8-21

Yen Rises Broadly as Hong Kong Free Fall Triggers Risk Aversion in Asia

US stocks surged to new record overnight, shrugging off FOMC minutes. But Asian markets are walking another path, as led by the free fall in Hong Kong stocks. Yen surges broadly on risk aversion, followed by Swiss Franc. Commodity currencies are generally pressured, with Aussie weighed down by dovish RBA comments too. Euro, Sterling and Dollar are mixed for the moment, awaiting ECB minutes for more guidance.

Technically, USD/JPY's break of 110.41 support suggest rejection by 111.71 key medium term resistance. It's also a very early sign of larger bearish reversal. Immediate focus will be on 130.02 support in EUR/JPY to double confirm near term bearishness in Yen crosses. Similarly, AUD/JPY is now eyeing 82.11 support and break will resume the whole fall from 85.78.

In Asia, Nikkei closed down -0.68%. Hong Kong HSI is down -2.40%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.78%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.55%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down-0.0060 at 0.031. Overnight, DOW rose 0.30%. S&P 500 rose 0.34%. NASDAQ rose 0.01%. 10-year yield dropped to as low as 1.296, before closing down -0.049 at 1.321.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.41; (P) 110.61; (R1) 110.83; More...

USD/JPY's break of 110.41 support argues that rise from 107.47 has completed at 111.65, after rejection by 111.71 key resistance. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 109.79) first. Sustained break there will suggest that it's at least correcting the whole rise from 102.58, and targets 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 111.65 at 108.18. For now, risk will be mildly on the downside as long as 111.65 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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