Dollar Staying Weak, But Yen Turns Lower Too

Action Insight Daily Report 8-12-22

Dollar Staying Weak, But Yen Turns Lower Too

Dollar remains the worst performing major currency for the week, but the dynamics are shifting. Yen is giving up much of its gain, following the strong rebound in benchmark treasury yields, but Swiss Franc is still firm. Euro and Sterling are somewhat under pressure too, while smaller than expected GDP contraction gives the Pound little help. Commodity currencies are staying the strongest ones, as led by Kiwi and Aussie.

Technically, NZD/JPY looks set to take on 86.80/87.33 resistance zone with current strong rally. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. If that happens, attention would also be on USD/JPY at the same time, on whether it would break through 135.57 minor resistance to resume the rebound from 130.38, towards 139.37 high.

In Asia, Nikkei rose 2.62%. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.39%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.04%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.92%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0046 at 0.198. Overnight, DOW rose 0.08%. S&P 500 dropped -0.07%. NASDAQ dropped -0.58%. 10-year yield rose 0.102 to 2.888.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.04; (P) 132.67; (R1) 133.62; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral first, as it recovered well ahead of 130.38 support. Overall outlook is unchanged that price actions from 139.37 are developing into a corrective pattern to larger up trend. Below 130.38 will target 100% projection of 139.37 to 130.38 from 135.57 at 126.58. But downside should be contained by 126.35 structure support. On the upside, above 135.57 will resume the rebound form 130.38 to retest 139.37, but firm break there is not expected even in this case.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 NZD Business NZ PMI Jul 52.7 49.7
06:00 GBP GDP M/M Jun -0.60% -1.30% 0.50%
06:00 GBP GDP Q/Q Q2 P -0.10% -0.20% 0.80%
06:00 GBP Industrial Production M/M Jun -0.90% -0.80% 0.90% 1.30%
06:00 GBP Industrial Production Y/Y Jun 2.40% 1.60% 1.40% 1.80%
06:00 GBP Manufacturing Production M/M Jun -1.60% -1.70% 1.40% 1.70%
06:00 GBP Manufacturing Production Y/Y Jun 1.30% 1.30% 2.30% 2.60%
06:00 GBP Index of Services 3M/3M Jun -0.40% -0.40% 0.10% 0.00%
06:00 GBP Goods Trade Balance (GBP) Jun -22.8B -22.3B -21.4B
08:00 EUR Italy Trade Balance (EUR) Jun 0.35B -0.01B
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Production M/M Jun 0.00% 0.80%
12:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Jul -0.50% 0.20%
14:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Aug P 52.3 51.5