Dollar and Yen Firmer on Recession Talks

Action Insight Daily Report 8-16-22

Dollar and Yen Firmer on Recession Talks

Yen and Dollar are so far stronger for the week, with recession as a main theme in the markets. Yet, their upside is relatively limited, as US stocks managed to extend near term rally overnight. Commodity currencies are generally on the softer side, but Aussie, Kiwi and Loonie are all staying inside last week's ranges. Euro and Sterling are mixed for now, while Swiss Franc is firm.

Technically, EUR/USD's break of 1.0201 minor support argues that rebound from 0.9951 has already completed at 1.0368. Deeper fall is in favor back to retest 0.9951 low. Some attention will also be on Gold, which lost much upside momentum after hitting 1807.66. Break of 1764.77 support will also argue that rebound from 1680.83 has completed, and bring retest of this low. Developments in EUR/USD and Gold could reinforce each other.

In Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.01%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.99%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.12%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.18%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.016 at 0.171. Overnight, DOW rose 0.45%. S&P 50 rose 0.40%. NASDAQ rose 0.62%. 10-year yield dropped -0.058 to 2.791.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0120; (P) 1.0194; (R1) 1.0233; More...

EUR/USD's break of 1.0201 minor support suggests that rebound from 0.9951 has completed at 1.0368 already. That came after rejection by 55 day EMA, as well as falling channel resistance. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 0.9951 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.0368 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:30 AUD RBA Meeting Minutes
04:30 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Jun -0.20% 0.50% 0.80% 1.10%
06:00 GBP Claimant Count Change Jul -10.5K -32.0K -20.0K -26.8K
06:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Jun 3.80% 3.80% 3.80%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Excluding Bonus 3M/Y Jun 4.70% 4.40% 4.30%
06:00 GBP Average Earnings Including Bonus 3M/Y Jun 5.10% 5.20% 6.20%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Jun -20.0B -26.0B
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Aug -59.9 -53.8
09:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Aug -48 -45.8
09:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Aug -57 -51.1
12:15 CAD Housing Starts Jul 265K 274K
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Jul 0.10% 0.70%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Jul 7.60% 8.10%
12:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Jul 4.70% 4.60%
12:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Jul 4.90% 4.90%
12:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Jul 5.40% 5.50%
12:30 USD Building Permits Jul 1.65M 1.70M
12:30 USD Housing Starts Jul 1.35M 1.56M
13:15 USD Industrial Production M/M Jul 0.20% -0.20%
13:15 USD Capacity Utilization Jul 80.10% 80.00%