USD, JPY and CHF in Range Against Each Other, AUD and CAD Heavy
Action Insight Daily Report 8-20-21

USD, JPY and CHF in Range Against Each Other, AUD and CAD Heavy

Dollar, Swiss Franc and Yen are taking turns to be the strongest, with the greenback having a little upper hand. But they're kept in range against each other. Commodity currencies remain the weakest, with Aussie additionally pressured by strict lockdowns, while Loonie is dragged down by falling oil prices. Euro and Sterling are mixed in the middle. Stock traders appear to be relatively indecisive though, in particular in the US. S&P 500 and NASDAQ managed to reverse all initial decline to closed up. However, major Asian indexes are rather weak, especially in Hong Kong and China.

Technically, the overwhelming rally in Dollar this week is, to a certain extent, not overwhelming enough. Gold is just stuck in range around 1780 for now. Considering that it's close to 55 day EMA (now at 1979.58), it's actually rather resilient. To confirm more sustainable rise in the greenback, especially against the equally strong Swiss Franc and Yen, we'd prefer to see firm break of 1770.68 support in Gold to indicate rejection by 1800 handle. Otherwise, we'd maintain a bit of cautiousness in USD/CHF and USD/JPY, as well as EUR/USD.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -0.70%. Hong Kong HSI is down -2.28%. China Shanghai SSE is down -1.66%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.77%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.002 at 0.015. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.19%. S&P 500 rose 0.13%. NASDSAQ rose 0.11%. 10-year yield dropped -0.031 to 1.242.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

RBNZ Left OCR Unchanged Amidst Latest Lockdown. Hawkishness Maintained
CFTC Commitments of Traders - Traders Bet Aussie to Go Lower as Resurgence of Pandemic Triggers Lockdown Extension
CFTC Commitments of Traders - Bets on Higher Crude Oil Price Shrank as Widespread Coronavirus could Again Hurt Chinese Demand
Central Bank Views | China Watch | Oil N' Gold | Special Topics

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.43; (P) 109.83; (R1) 110.17; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 110.79 will resume the rebound from 108.71 to retest 111.65 high. On the downside, break of 109.10 will target 108.71 support first. Firm break there will resume the decline from 111.65 and target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 111.65 at 108.18 next.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

GBP/USD – Into Bearish Territory

USD/JPY Approaches Key Breakout, 110.00 Presents Resistance

Market Morning Briefing: Dollar Index Has Broken Sharply Above 93.30

Crude Oil Driving USD/CAD And USD/NOK

Cliff Notes: A Week of Uncertainty

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
RBNZ Left OCR Unchanged Amidst Latest Lockdown. Hawkishness Maintained
A Tack On Tighten – Review Of The RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement
Volatile Gold Price will Remain be Driven by Speculations of Fed's Tapering
China's Mild Inflation Paves Way for Further PBOC Easing
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Aug -8 -6 -7
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Jul -0.20% -0.40% 0.20%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales M/M Jul 0.40% 0.50%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales Y/Y Jul 6.40% 9.70%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel M/M Jul 0.30%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel Y/Y Jul 7.40%
06:00 EUR Germany PPI M/M Jul 0.80% 1.30%
06:00 EUR Germany PPI Y/Y Jul 8.40% 8.50%
06:00 GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing (GBP) Jul 23.2B 22.0B
12:30 CAD New Housing Price Index M/M Jul 1.30% 0.60%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M Jun 5.00% -2.10%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Jun 4.90% -2.00%