EUR/USD Breaks to New Low, Good Bye Parity

Action Insight Daily Report 8-23-22

EUR/USD Breaks to New Low, Good Bye Parity

European majors, including the Swiss Franc, are under much selling pressure currently. EUR/USD dived through parity, and hit a new low. The development came on worries that Russia will further weaponize its natural gas supplies to Europe, adding further weight to the already troubled economy. Dollar is strong as supported by rising treasury yield, with 10-year yield back above 3% handle. But Aussie and Kiwi are so far also resilient. Yen is mixed with counter forces of risk-aversion and rising yields.

Technically, a focus for the week is US 10-year yield's reaction to 3.101 resistance, as reaction to Jackson Hole symposium too. Firm break there could prompt some upside acceleration towards 3.483 high before the end of the quarter. Such development, if happens, could also come with deeper selloff in stocks, and give support to the greenback. Anyway, a roller coaster is probably awaiting in September.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -1.16%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.49%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.18%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.61%. 10-year yield is down -0.0089 at 0.222. Overnight, DOW dropped -1.91%. S&P 500 dropped -2.14%. NASDAQ dropped -2.55%. 10-year yield rose 0.048 to 3.037.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9897; (P) 0.9972; (R1) 1.0018; More...

EUR/USD's break of 0.9951 support confirms down trend resumption. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% projection of 1.0773 to 0.9951 from 1.0368 at 0.9860. Firm break there should prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.9546. On the upside, above 1.0045 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited well below 1.0368 resistance to bring fall resumption.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI Aug P 54.5 57.3 55.7
23:00 AUD Services PMI Aug P 49.6 54 50.9
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Aug P 51 51.8 52.1
07:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Aug P 48.8 49.5
07:15 EUR France Services PMI Aug P 53.5 53.2
07:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Aug P 48.1 49.3
07:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Aug P 49 49.7
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Aug P 49 49.8
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Aug P 50.5 51.2
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Aug P 51.3 52.1
08:30 GBP Services PMI Aug P 52 52.6
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Aug P 51.5 52.2
13:45 USD Services PMI Aug P 50.4 47.3
14:00 USD New Home Sales M/M Jul 580K 590K
14:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Aug P -28 -27