Yen Falls on Rising US Yields, Dollar Soft Again
Action Insight Daily Report 8-26-21

Yen Falls on Rising US Yields, Dollar Soft Again

Another round of selling was seen in Dollar overnight, as US stocks extended record run. But Yen was even weaker, following the strong rally in treasury yields. It remains to be seen if investors are already starting to position themselves for the Jackson Hole symposium. For now, Yen, Dollar, and Swiss Franc are the worst performers for the week. New Zealand Dollar is the strongest, followed by other commodity currencies.

Technically, we'd continue to monitor some levels in Dollar pairs on their reaction to incoming Jackson Hole news flows. In particular, the levels include 1.1804 resistance in EUR/USD, 1.3785 minor resistance in GBP/USD, 0.7288 resistance in AUD/USD, 0.9098 support in USD/CHF and 109.10 support in USD/JPY. Synchronized break of these levels would indicate that deeper selloff in Dollar is underway.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -0.01%. Hong Kong HSI is down -1.44%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.50%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.05%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0019 at 0.019. Overnight, DOW rose 0.11%. S&P 500 rose 0.22%. NASDAQ rose 0.15%. 10-year yield rose 0.052 to 1.342.

Full Report Here

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.00; (P) 129.26; (R1) 129.76; More....

EUR/JPY's strong break of near term falling channel resistance argues that correction from 134.11 might have completed at 127.91 already. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for 130.54 resistance first. Sustained break there will affirm this bullish case and target 132.68 resistance next. On the downside, however, below 128.58 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 127.91 first. Break will target 127.07 resistance turned support. That is close to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 126.58.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Corporate Service Price Index Y/Y Jul 1.10% 1.30% 1.40% 1.30%
1:30 AUD Private Capital Expenditure Q2 4.40% 2.50% 6.30% 6.00%
6:00 EUR Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Sep -1 -0.3
8:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Money Supply Y/Y Jul 7.60% 8.30%
11:30 EUR ECB Monetary Policy Accounts
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Aug 20) 355K 348K
12:30 USD GDP Annualized Q2 P 6.70% 6.50%
12:30 USD GDP Price Index Q2 P 6.00% 6.10%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 46B