Dollar's Momentum Doesn't Warrant a Reversal Yet
Action Insight Daily Report 8-3-22

Dollar's Momentum Doesn't Warrant a Reversal Yet

Overall, the development in the financial markets are rather mixed for now, still awaiting further development in Taiwan Strait tensions. Yen's rally was somewhat choked by the recovery in US benchmark yields overnight. Dollar is attempting a rebound, but momentum doesn't warrant a reversal yet. Sterling is the relatively stronger European major, but the break out against Euro looks half-hearted. Investors might continue to hold their bets until US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi leaves Taiwan.

Technically, Gold was rejected by 1786.65 support turned resistance on first attempt, but it's resiliently holding on for now. Further rise will remain in favor as long as 1739.10 support holds. Sustained break of 1786.65 and 55 day EMA will affirm the case and bullish reversal, and target 1878.92 resistance and above next. If happens, Gold's next rally could come with another rebound of selloff in the greenback.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 0.41%. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.61%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.40%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.33%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.014 at 0.191. Overnight, DOW dropped -1.23%. S&P 500 dropped -0.67%. NASDAQ dropped -0.16%. 10-year yield rose 0.135 to 2.741.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2122; (P) 1.2200; (R1) 1.2242; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.2292 temporary top. Further rally is expected as long as 1.2062 minor support holds. Above 1.2292 will target 1.2405 resistance first. Firm break there will target 1.2666 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.2062 minor support will argue that the rebound is over, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.1759 low instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 AUD AiG Performance of Construction Index Jul 45.3 46.2
22:45 NZD Employment Change Q2 0.00% 0.40% 0.10%
22:45 NZD Unemployment Rate Q2 3.30% 3.10% 3.20%
22:45 NZD Labour Cost Index Q/Q Q2 1.30% 1.10% 0.70%
01:45 CNY Caixin Services PMI Jul 55.5 54 54.5
06:00 EUR Germany Trade Balance (EUR) Jun -1.1B -1.0B
06:30 CHF CPI M/M Jul 0.00% 0.50%
06:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Jul 3.60% 3.40%
07:45 EUR Italy Services PMI Jul 50 51.6
07:50 EUR France Services PMI Jul F 52.1 52.1
07:55 EUR Germany Services PMI Jul F 49.2 49.2
08:00 EUR Italy Retail Sales M/M Jun 0.20% 1.90%
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Jul F 50.6 50.6
08:30 GBP Services PMI Jul F 53.3 53.3
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI M/M Jun 1.00% 0.70%
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI Y/Y Jun 35.70% 36.30%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M Jun 0.10% 0.20%
13:45 USD Services PMI Jul F 47 47
14:00 USD ISM Services PMI Jul 53.5 55.3
14:00 USD Factory Orders M/M Jun 0.80% 1.60%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.4M -4.5M