USD/JPY Slightly Softer in Subdued Trading, Look Forward to NFP
Action Insight Daily Report 8-30-21

Markets Treading Water Despite Strong PCE Inflation, Powell Next

Trading is relatively subdued in Asian session today with most major pairs and crosses staying inside Friday's range. Some additional pressure is seen in USD/JPY but loss is so far limited. Markets seemed to have well digested Fed Chair Jerome Powell's balanced message on tapering already. Attention will turn to this week's heavy-weight data like ISMs and NFP to gauge the timing of tapering, and thus the next direction in the greenback.

Technically, we'd pay special attention to 1.1804 resistance in EUR/USD, 1.3785 resistance in GBP/USD, 0.9098 support in USD/CHF, 109.10 support in USD/JPY and 1.2577 support in USD/CAD. Synchronized break of these levels would indicate that Dollar sellers are back in full force.

In Asia, Nikkei closed up 0.44%. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.55%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.19%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.81%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.006 at 0.019.

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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.67; (P) 109.97; (R1) 110.16; More...

USD/JPY drops slightly today but stays inside range of 109.10/110.79. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 109.10 will target 108.71 support first. Firm break there will resume the decline from 111.65 and target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 111.65 at 108.18 next. On the upside, break of 110.79 will resume the rebound from 108.71 to retest 111.65 high.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y Jun 2.40% 2.10% 0.10%
1:30 AUD Company Gross Operating Profits Q/Q Q2 7.10% 3.00% -0.30% -0.60%
7:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator Aug 126.3 129.8
9:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Aug 118.6 119
9:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence Aug 13.7 14.6
9:00 EUR Eurozone Services Sentiment Aug 19.9 19.3
9:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Aug F -5.3 -5.3
9:00 EUR Eurozone Business Climate Aug 1.9
12:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Aug P 0.10% 0.90%
12:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Aug P 3.90% 3.80%
12:30 CAD Current Account (CAD) Q2 1.5B 1.2B
14:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M Jul 0.50% -1.90%