Kiwi Jumps after Strong Employment Data, Dollar Weakness Continues
Action Insight Daily Report 8-4-21

Kiwi Jumps after Strong Employment Data, Dollar Weakness Continues

Following strong closes in US stocks, Asian markets ex-Japan are trading generally higher. The development helps lift commodity currencies generally higher. In particular, New Zealand Dollar is additionally lifted by much stronger than expected job data. Yen is paring some gains but weak treasury yields is keeping it afloat. On the other hand, Dollar continues to trade with an undertone and remains one of the weakest for the week.

Technically, as we're entering into the second half of the week with job and services data, focuses will be on whether Dollar selling would take over again. In particular, break of 1.1907 resistance in EUR/USD and 1.3982 resistance in GBP/USD should seal the case in European-Dollar pairs. Meanwhile, Gold is holding on well to 4 hour 55 EMA so far, maintaining mild bullish favor. Break of 1833.91 resistance should resume the rebound from 1750.49 and double-confirm Dollar selloff.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -0.20%. Hong Kong HSI is up 1.53%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.56%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.97%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0024 at 0.007. Overnight, DOW rose 0.80%. S&P 500 rose 0.82%. NASDAQ rose 0.55%. 10-year yield rose 0.002 to 1.176.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

RBA Sticks with Tapering in September, Shrugging Off Short-term Impacts of Lockdown
CFTC Commitments of Traders - Crude Oil's Net Long Increased Only Slightly Despite Price Rise
CFTC Commitments of Traders - Net Short of GBP Futures will Likely Trim Next Week
Central Bank Views | China Watch | Oil N' Gold | Special Topics

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.83; (P) 109.08; (R1) 109.29; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 111.65 is in progress for 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 111.65 at 108.18. On the upside, above 109.82 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 110.58 resistance instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
RBA Sticks with Tapering in September, Shrugging Off Short-term Impacts of Lockdown
RBA Board Surprises by Maintaining Current Policy Settings
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FOMC: "Progress" Made but Is It Enough to Taper?
FOMC Review: Economy Moving Toward Inflation and Employment Goals. FOMC Minutes and Jackson Holes in Focus
Aussie to Stay Weak in Near-term as Lockdown Measures to Weigh On Third Quarter Growth. RBA could Delay Tapering
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 AUD AiG Performance of Construction Index Jul 48.7 55.5
22:45 NZD Employment Change Q2 1.00% 0.70% 0.60%
22:45 NZD Unemployment Rate Q2 4.00% 4.50% 4.70% 4.60%
22:45 NZD Labour Cost Index Q/Q Q2 0.90% 0.70% 0.40%
1:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Jun -1.80% -1.80% -1.80%
1:45 CNY Caixin Services PMI Jul 54.9 50.6 50.3
7:45 EUR Italy Services PMI Jul 58.2 56.7
7:50 EUR France Services PMI Jul F 57 57
7:55 EUR Germany Services PMI Jul F 62.2 62.2
8:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Jul F 60.4 60.4
8:00 EUR Italy Retail Sales M/M Jun 0.30% 0.20%
8:30 GBP Services PMI Jul F 57.8 57.8
9:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M Jun 1.90% 4.60%
12:15 USD ADP Employment Change Jul 680K 692K
12:30 CAD Building Permits M/M Jun -0.30% -14.80%
13:45 USD Services PMI Jul F 59.8 59.8
14:00 USD ISM Services PMI Jul 60.4 60.1
14:00 USD ISM Services Employment Jul 49.3
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -4.1M