Dollar Recovered But Lacks Follow Through Buying, Sterling Turns to BoE First
Action Insight Daily Report 8-5-21

Dollar Recovered But Lacks Follow Through Buying, Sterling Turns to BoE First

Overall markets were rather mixed for the moment. Dollar's selloff was quickly choked off by strong ISM services overnight, even though there is no clear follow through buying. Traders are holding off the bets for now, awaiting tomorrow's non-farm payroll figures. Sterling will come to the center of the stage today first, with BoE super Thursday. But barring the situation of drastic surprise in asset purchase voting, the event is unlikely to trigger some sustainable moves.

Technically, development in gold is a clear reflection of indecisiveness in the markets. Another attempt on breaking through 1833.91 resistance failed. Yet, it's still holding on to 4 hour 55 EMA and 1800 handle. At this point, further rise is still in favor and break of 1833.91 would finally resume the rebound from 1750.49 to 61.8% retracement of 1916.30 to 1750.39 at 1852.96. On the downside, firm beak of 1789.42 support is needed to confirm completion of the rebound from 1750.49, in case of any pre- and post-NFP jitters.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is trading up 0.44%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.38%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.06%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.36%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0046 at 0.009. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.92%. S&P 500 dropped -0.46%. NASDAQ rose 0.13%. 10-year yield rose 0.008 to 1.184.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

BOE Preview - Awaiting Signals to Exit
RBA Sticks with Tapering in September, Shrugging Off Short-term Impacts of Lockdown
CFTC Commitments of Traders - Net Short of GBP Futures will Likely Trim Next Week
Central Bank Views | China Watch | Oil N' Gold | Special Topics

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.91; (P) 109.29; (R1) 109.87; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with current recovery. Some consolidation would be seen first but further decline remains in favor as long as 110.58 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 108.71 will resume the decline from 111.65 to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 111.65 at 108.18. Nevertheless, firm break of 110.58 will argue that that corrective fall has completed and bring retest of 111.65.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
RBA Sticks with Tapering in September, Shrugging Off Short-term Impacts of Lockdown
RBA Board Surprises by Maintaining Current Policy Settings
Research UK - Economic Recovery is Set to Continue
FOMC: "Progress" Made but Is It Enough to Taper?
FOMC Review: Economy Moving Toward Inflation and Employment Goals. FOMC Minutes and Jackson Holes in Focus
Aussie to Stay Weak in Near-term as Lockdown Measures to Weigh On Third Quarter Growth. RBA could Delay Tapering
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
1:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Jun 10.50B 10.20B 9.68B 9.27B
6:00 EUR Germany Factory Orders M/M Jun 1.50% -3.70%
6:45 EUR France Industrial Output M/M Jun 0.50% -0.30%
8:00 EUR ECB Economic Bulletin
8:30 GBP Construction PMI Jul 63.8 66.3
11:00 GBP BoE Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10%
11:00 GBP BoE Asset Purchase Facility 895B 895B
11:00 GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 0--0--9 0--0--9
11:00 GBP MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes 0--1--8 0--1--8
11:30 USD Challenger Job Cuts Y/Y Jul -88.00%
12:30 CAD International Merchandise Trade (CAD) Jun 0.4B -1.4B
12:30 USD Trade Balance (USD) Jun -72.5B -71.2B
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Jul 30) 400K
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 36B