Dollar Selloff Accelerates after Failing Resistance, Australian Dollar Strong on Fading Risk Aversion
Action Insight Daily Report 8-8-18

Euro Rebound Accelerates as China Turned to EU for Imports Overwhelmingly Amid Trade War with US

Euro trades broadly higher in Asian session today, except versus New Zealand Dollar. The common currency is extending this week's powerful rebound. Meanwhile, Canadian Dollar is trading as the weakest one, followed but Dollar as the second weakest. For the week, Euro remains the strongest one on a powerful rebound. It's followed by Australian Dollar as the second strongest. Canadian Dollar is the weakest one, paring back some of this month's gain. Sterling is the second weakest on worries over no-deal Brexit.

The strength in Euro can firstly be explained by Dollar's failure in breaking through key resistance level. That is, EUR/USD rebounded strongly after defending 1.1507 key support level. The greenback is apparently troubled by the recovery in the Chinese Yuan follow PBoC measure. EUR/GBP also takes advantage of the no-deal Brexit worries to surge through 0.8967 key resistance level. Resumption of medium term rise from 0.8620 in EUR/GBP could help lift Euro elsewhere.

Thirdly, the common currency appears to be benefited from China trade data. The set of data clearly showed that China is turning to the EU for trade, in rather drastic and speedy way in July. Since early part of the year, Dollar has always benefit from Trump's escalation in trade conflicts. But going forward, it's worth a watch on Euro's reactions to Trump's comments on trade with China.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1562; (P) 1.1586 (R1) 1.1622; More.....

EUR/USD's break of 1.1610 minor resistance confirms bottoming at 1.1529. And, the consolidation pattern from 1.1509 has started another rising leg. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for the moment. Stronger rise could be seen back to 1.1745 resistance. But after all, upside should be limited by 1.1851 to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1507 key support will resume larger down trend from 1.2555 through 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY BOJ Summary of Opinions Jul
23:50 JPY Current Account (JPY) Jun 1.76T 1.84T 1.85T
23:50 JPY Bank Lending incl Trusts Y/Y Jul 2.00% 2.30% 2.20%
1:30 AUD Home Loans M/M Jun -1.10% 0.10% 1.10% 1.00%
3:05 CNY Trade Balance (USD) Jul 28.1B 39.1B 41.6B
3:05 CNY Trade Balance (CNY) Jul 177B 255B 262B
5:00 JPY Eco Watchers Survey Current Jul 46.6 47.8 48.1
12:30 CAD Building Permits M/M Jun -2.70% 4.70%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 3.8M
21:00 NZD RBNZ Rate Decision 1.75% 1.75%
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