Yen Rising as Sentiment Weighed Down by Poor China Retail Sales
Action Insight Daily Report 9-15-21

Yen Rising as Sentiment Weighed Down by Poor China Retail Sales

The impact of slowing in US inflation was rather short-lived as major indexes turned red after initial rise. Sentiment is further weighed down by poor retail sales data from China. Yen notably overnight on mild risk-off sentiment while Dollar also regained some ground. On the other hand, Australian and New Zealand Dollar resumed recent near term decline. As for the week, Yen is currently the strongest one, followed by Canadian. Aussie and Kiwi are the worst performing. Focus will now turn to CPI from UK and Canada.

Technically, AUD/JPY is the biggest mover for the week for far. 38.2% retracement of 77.88 to 82.01 at 80.43 was taken out as fall from 82.01 extended. Deeper decline is now in favor as long as 4 hour 55 EMA holds. Further break of 61.8% retracement at 79.45 could pave the way to retest 77.88 low. In addition, EUR/JPY's break of 129.57 support opens the way to retest 127.91 low. GBP/JPY's break of 151.39 support could also bring retest of 149.16 low. A focus is on whether USD/JPY would also break out from near term range, to the downside.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -0.38%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.95%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.31%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.65%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0062 to 0.039. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.84%. S&P 500 dropped -0.57%. NASDAQ dropped -0.45%. 10-year yield dropped -0.047 to 1.277.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.90; (P) 151.88; (R1) 152.42; More...

GBP/JPY's break of 151.39 minor support argues that rebound from 149.16 has completed at 152.82, well ahead of 153.42 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 148.43/149.16 support zone. Decisive break there will resume whole decline from 156.05 high, and carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, though, break of 152.82 will resume the rebound to 153.42 near term structural resistance.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Current Account (NZD) Q2 -1.40B -2.15B -2.90B -3.19B
23:50 JPY Machinery Orders M/M Jul 0.90% 3.10% -1.50%
00:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence Sep 2.00% -4.40%
02:00 CNY Retail Sales Y/Y Aug 2.50% 7.10% 8.50%
02:00 CNY Fixed Asset Investment YTD Y/Y Aug 8.90% 9.10% 10.30%
02:00 CNY Industrial Production Y/Y Aug 5.30% 5.80% 6.40%
06:00 GBP CPI M/M Aug 0.50% 0.00%
06:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Aug 2.90% 2.00%
06:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Aug 2.90% 1.80%
06:00 GBP RPI M/M Aug 0.30% 0.50%
06:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Aug 4.60% 3.80%
06:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Aug 0.20% 0.80%
06:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Aug 10.30% 9.90%
06:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Aug 0.40% 0.60%
06:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Aug 5.40% 4.90%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Aug 0.70%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Aug 3.90%
08:30 GBP DCLG House Price Index Y/Y Jul 12.40% 13.20%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Production M/M Jul 0.50% -0.30%
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Aug 0.10% 0.60%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Aug 3.20% 3.70%
12:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Aug 1.70% 1.70%
12:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Aug 2.60% 2.60%
12:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Aug 3.10% 3.10%
12:30 USD NY Empire State Manufacturing Index Sep 17.1 18.3
12:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Aug 0.30% 0.30%
13:15 USD Industrial Production M/M Aug 0.40% 0.90%
13:15 USD Capacity Utilization Aug 76.30% 76.10%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -3.6M -1.5M