Yen Crosses Trading Up But Markets Stay Generally Cautious
Action Insight Daily Report 9-2-21

Yen Crosses Trading Up But Markets Stay Generally Cautious

While NASDAQ surged to new record high overnight, overall closes were mixed with DOW slightly down. Asia markets also lack a clear direction. Investors appear to remain cautious ahead of US non-farm payroll report tomorrow. So far, New Zealand and Australian Dollars are the strongest ones for the week. Canadian Dollar is lagging far behind with WTI oil price struggling around 68 handle. Swiss Franc and Yen are the worst performing ones. But both are just range bound against the greenback, which is clearly weak against other Europeans and commodity currencies.

Technically, NZD/JPY's breach of 77.91 resistance suggests that correction from 80.17 has completed at 74.54 already. It's also the first sign that Yen crosses are staging bullish reversals. But, to play safe, we'd like to firstly see sustained trading above this 77.91 resistance in NSD/JPY. Additionally, AUD/JPY and EUR/JPY should take out corresponding resistance levels at 81.56 and 130.54 respectively, to add to the case of Yen crosses bullish reversal.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 0.26%. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.08%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.55%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.30%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0041 at 0.035. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.14%. S&P 500 rose 0.03%. NASDAQ rose 0.33% to new record at 15309.38. 10-year yield dropped -0.02 to 1.302.

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.95; (P) 130.21; (R1) 130.53; More....

EUR/JPY's rebound from 127.91 short term bottom is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 130.54 resistance. Sustained break there will argue that whole correction from 134.11 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish. Further rise should then be see back to retest 134.11 high. On the downside, however, below 129.14 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 127.91 low instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Terms of Trade Index Q2 3.30% 0.30% 0.10%
23:50 JPY Monetary Base Y/Y Aug 14.90% 16.20% 15.40%
1:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Jul 12.12B 10.10B 10.50B 11.11B
6:30 CHF Real Retail Sales Y/Y Jul 0.20% 0.10%
6:30 CHF CPI M/M Aug 0.10% -0.10%
6:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Aug 0.80% 0.70%
7:00 CHF GDP Q/Q Q2 1.90% -0.50%
9:00 EUR Eurozone PPI M/M Jul 1.20% 1.40%
9:00 EUR Eurozone PPI Y/Y Jul 10.90% 10.20%
11:30 USD Challenger Job Cuts Y/Y Aug -92.80%
12:30 CAD Building Permits M/M Jul 6.90%
12:30 CAD International Merchandise Trade (CAD) Jul 3.2B
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Aug 27) 351K 353K
12:30 USD Trade Balance (USD) Jul -74.5B -75.7B
12:30 USD Nonfarm Productivity Q2 2.40% 2.30%
12:30 USD Unit Labor Costs Q2 1.00% 1.00%
14:00 USD Factory Orders M/M Jul 0.40% 1.50%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 29B