GBP/CAD Pressing Key Cluster Resistance as Pound Extended Rebound

Action Insight Daily Report 9-30-22

GBP/CAD Pressing Key Cluster Resistance as Pound Extended Rebound

Sterling's rebound extended further overnight as sentiment towards it continued to stabilized. Indeed, the Pound is trading up against Aussie and Canadian for the month. Sterling looks set to have a strong close for the week too. Commodity currencies are generally pressured today, together with steep decline in Japan Nikkei. But there is little risk aversion support to Yen. Dollar is mixed for now, overwhelmed by the comeback of Euro too.

Technically, GBP/CAD is now pressing an important cluster resistance. The levels include 1.5296 resistance, 55 day EMA (now at 1.5292), and 38.2% retracement of 1.7375 to 1.4069 at 1.5332. Rejection by this cluster resistance, followed by break of 1.4728 minor support, will argue that the rebound from 1.4069 has completed. That will also maintain medium term bearishness for down trend resumption through 1.4069 at a later stage. However, sustained break of this cluster should add to the case that the worst is over for the Pound, and open up stronger rise back to 61.8% retracement at 1.6112. We'll probably find out which way next week.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is down -2.26%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.25%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.32%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.43%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.014 at 0.245. Overnight, DOW dropped -1.54%. S&P 500 dropped -2.11%. NASDAQ dropped -2.84%. 10-year yield rose 0.042 to 3.747.

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GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0881; (P) 1.1000; (R1) 1.1238; More...

GBP/USD's rebound from 1.0351 extended higher today and the break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.1037) is a positive sign. For now, intraday bias is mildly on the upside for further rise to 61.8% retracement of 1.2292 to 1.0351 at 1.1551. On the downside, break of 1.0760 minor support will indicate that the rebound is over, and bring retest of 1.0351 low.

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EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Aug -1.60% 5.00% 4.90%
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Aug 2.50% 2.50% 2.60%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Aug P 2.70% -0.20% 0.80%
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y Aug 4.10% 2.80% 2.40%
01:30 AUD Private Sector Credit M/M Aug 0.80% 0.80% 0.70% 0.80%
01:30 CNY NBS Manufacturing PMI Sep 50.1 49.2 49.4
01:30 CNY Non-Manufacturing PMI Sep 50.6 52 52.6
01:45 CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI Sep 48.1 49.9 49.5
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Aug 4.60% -4.10% -5.40%
05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Index Sep 30.8 33.6 32.5
06:00 GBP GDP Q/Q Q2 F -0.10% -0.10%
06:00 GBP Current Account (GBP) Q2 -43.9B -51.7B
06:30 CHF Real Retail Sales Y/Y Aug 2.80% 2.60%
06:45 EUR France Consumer Spending M/M Aug 0.00% -0.80%
07:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator Sep 86.2 86.5
07:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Change Sep 20K 28K
07:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Rate Sep 5.50% 5.50%
08:00 EUR Italy Unemployment Aug 7.90% 7.90%
08:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals Aug 63K 64K
08:30 GBP M4 Money Supply M/M Aug 0.50% 0.50%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Aug 6.60% 6.60%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Sep P 9.10% 9.10%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Sep P 4.70% 4.30%
12:30 USD Personal Income M/M Aug 0.30% 0.20%
12:30 USD Personal Spending Aug 0.20% 0.10%
12:30 USD PCE Price Index M/M Aug 0.30% -0.10%
12:30 USD PCE Price Index Y/Y Aug 6.60% 6.30%
12:30 USD Core PCE Price Index M/M Aug 0.10%
12:30 USD Core PCE Price Index Y/Y Aug 5.20% 4.60%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI Sep 51.9 52.2
14:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Sep F 59.5 59.5