Euro Firms Up ahead of ECB, Dollar Paring Gains

Action Insight Daily Report 9-8-22

Euro Firms Up ahead of ECB, Dollar Paring Gains

The markets are relatively steady in Asian session today, as focus turns to ECB rate hike. Dollar has been paring some gains overnight as risk aversion receded mildly. Both Euro and Swiss Franc are generally firming up. On the other hand, There is little sign of life for Yen, as it's staying pressured across the board. Sterling is also not too far away, while commodity currencies are mixed, with Canadian on the upper hand.

Technically, in addition to Euro pairs, GBP/USD is one to watch today too, as it's now pressing pandemic low at 1.1409. Selloff is slowing for now. Indeed, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1608 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming, after defending the key support. In that case, a sustainable rebound should follow as traders cover their short position and take profits. On the other hand, firm break of 1.1409 would trigger downside re-acceleration.

In Asia, at the time of writing, Nikkei is up 2.34%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.49%. China Shanghai SSE is up 0.15%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.82%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.001 at 0.248. Overnight, DOW rose 1.40%. S&P 500 rose 1.83%. NASDAQ rose 2.14%. 10-year yield dropped -0.075 to 3.265.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9918; (P) 0.9965; (R1) 1.0053; More...

EUR/USD recovers notably, but stays below 1.0078 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and further decline is expected. Decisive break of 61.8% projection of 1.0773 to 0.9951 from 1.0368 at 0.9860 should prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.9546. On the upside, however, firm break of 1.0078 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0368 resistance instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:01 GBP RICS Housing Price Balance Aug 53% 61% 63% 62%
23:50 JPY Bank Lending Y/Y Aug 1.90% 1.90% 1.80% 1.70%
23:50 JPY GDP Q/Q Q2 F 0.90% 0.70% 0.50%
23:50 JPY GDP Deflator Y/Y Q2 F -0.30% -0.40% -0.40%
23:50 JPY Current Account (JPY) Jul -0.63T 0.02T 0.84T
01:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Jul 8.73B 14.50B 17.67B
05:00 JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current Aug 45.5 44 43.8
05:45 CHF Unemployment Rate Aug 2.10% 2.20% 2.20%
06:45 EUR France Trade Balance (EUR) Jul -12.2B -13.1B
12:15 EUR ECB Main Refinancing Rate 1.25% 0.50%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Sep 2) 243K 232K
12:45 EUR ECB Press Conference
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 55B 61B
15:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.0M -3.3M