Sterling Slumps Further as UK Bond Yields Hit Multi-Decade Highs

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-13-25

Sterling Slumps Further as UK Bond Yields Hit Multi-Decade Highs

Sterling's selloff continues today as UK government bond yields surged to new highs, underlining deep market concerns over the nation’s fiscal outlook. 10-year Gilt yield breached 4.8%, a level not seen in 17 years, while 30-year yield climbed past 5.4%, marking its highest point in 27 years.

At the core of this crisis are doubts about the government’s ability to meet its fiscal targets without resorting to higher taxes or additional spending cuts. Prime Minister Keir Starmer reaffirmed his commitment to the government’s fiscal rules, but his sidestepping of questions about austerity measures did little to calm investor nerves.

Meanwhile, Chancellor Rachel Reeves is facing scrutiny for her economic strategies—although Starmer offered unwavering support, calling her performance “fantastic.” Traders appear unconvinced, with concerns that rising debt-servicing costs could strain public finances and weigh on the Pound for some time.

Sterling will undergo crucial tests this week with the release of CPI data on Wednesday, followed by GDP figures on Thursday. While traders keep an eye on inflationary trends, a disappointing GDP print could intensify the bearish pressure on the currency. Many analysts worry that further signs of subdued economic growth, especially after the Autumn budget, could deepen the negative spiral surrounding the Pound’s outlook....

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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2160; (P) 1.2241; (R1) 1.2291; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Current decline from 1.3433 is in progress for 100% projection of 1.3433 to 1.2486 from 1.2810 at 1.1863. On the upside, break of 1.2321 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.2486 support turned resistance holds, in case of recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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