Dollar Firm as after CPI, EUR/CHF Downside Breakout
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-14-20

Dollar Firm as after CPI, EUR/CHF Downside Breakout

Dollar rises broadly in rather quiet markets today. Consumer inflation data from the US is supporting the greenback's firmness, but provides not further lift. Indeed, Swiss Franc is even stronger, as the best performing one today so far. China Yuan is also notably stronger than Dollar, after US scrapped the China's currency manipulator label. On the other hand, New Zealand Dollar is the weakest one, followed by Euro. The common currency is dragged by the selloff in EUR/CHF. Focus will now turn to tomorrow's US-China trade deal phase one signing.

Technically, EUR/CHF broke 1.0782 temporary low to resume medium term down trend. Next target is 1.0648 projection level. Selloff in EUR/CHF drags down both EUR/GBP and EUR/JPY, as the latters failed to sustain above recent resistance level. It looks like EUR could engage in more consolidative trading against Sterling and Yen first. AUD/USD's recovery is starting to lose momentum ahead of 0.6930 minor resistance. We might see a retest on 0.6849 temporary low later in the session, should Dollar gathers some steam.

In Europe, currently, FTSE is up 0.08%. DAX is down -0.10%. CAC is down -0.06%. German 10-year yield is down -0.0094 at -0.168. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.73%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.24%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.28%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.60%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0146 to 0.015.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

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EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0795; (P) 1.0814; (R1) 1.0830; More...

EUR/CHF's down trend resumes by breaking through 1.0782 and reaches as low as 1.0760 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0648. On the upside, break of 1.0833 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook remains bearish in case of recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Nov -8.50% -1.10% -1.30%
23:50 JPY Bank Lending Y/Y Dec 1.80T 2.10% 2.10%
23:50 JPY Current Account (JPY) Nov 1.79T 1.78T 1.73T
02:00 CNY Exports Y/Y (CNY) Dec 9.00% 1.30%
02:00 CNY Imports Y/Y (CNY) Dec 17.70% 2.50%
02:00 CNY Trade Balance (CNY) Dec 329B 315B 274B
03:00 CNY Trade Balance (USD) Dec 46.8B 45.8B 38.7B
03:00 CNY Exports (USD) Y/Y Dec 7.60% -1.30%
03:00 CNY Imports (USD) Y/Y Dec 16.30% 0.50%
05:00 JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current Dec 39.8 40.9 39.4
11:00 USD NFIB Business Optimism Index Dec 102.7 103.1 104.7
13:30 USD CPI M/M Dec 0.20% 0.20% 0.30%
13:30 USD CPI Y/Y Dec 2.30% 2.30% 2.10%
13:30 USD CPI Core M/M Dec 0.10% 0.20% 0.20%
13:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Dec 2.30% 2.30% 2.30%