European Majors Gain on Solid Data, Yen Consolidates ahead of BoJ

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-17-23

European Majors Gain on Solid Data, Yen Consolidates ahead of BoJ

European majors are trading generally higher today, with help from strong improvement in Germany economic sentiment as well as solid UK job data. Commodity currencies are turning softer, with Canadian Dollar shrugging off CPI data. Dollar is mixed despite sharp decline in New York State manufacturing data. Yen is so far the weakest for today, continuing to digest recent gains, awaiting tomorrow's BoJ policy decision, which could bomb the market with surprises.

Technically, following up on GBP/CAD, breach of 1.6433 minor resistance argues that pull back from 1.6846 might have completed at 1.6099 already. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.6846 high. Firm break there will resume larger rally from 1.4069. At the same time, EUR/CAD might even lead the way by breaking through 1.4591 resistance. In that case, rise from 1.2867 should be resuming for 61.8% projection of 1.3270 to 1.4591 from 1.4232 at 1.5048.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.14%. DAX is down -0.04%. CAC is up 0.09%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0088 at 2.167. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 1.23%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.78%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.10%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.09%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0105 to 0.504.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2150; (P) 1.2219; (R1) 1.2267; More...

GBP/USD's rise from 1.1840 resumed by breaking 1.2288 temporary top. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.2445. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 1.0351 to 1.2759 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.2168 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Implied Volatility Screams Higher ahead of Tomorrow's BoJ Meeting

Futures Mixed after Bank Earnings, China GDP

China Smashed Expectations for the Economy, But that Hasn't Stopped the Yuan's Correction

JP225 Cash Index Trades in Tight Range as SMA Convergence Flashing Red

EURGBP Lacks Clear Direction as it Remains Below 0.8900

GBPUSD Edges Higher after Completing Golden Cross

US Oil: Bulls Target 90.26

China Data Beats Low Expectations – USD/CNH Oversold?

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
Fed Nears a Hiking Pause – History Points to Recession and Possible October 2023 Rate Cut
Gold Goes on a Winning Streak, Can It Rise Further in 2023?
Is Oil Stuck Between a Rock and a Hard Place?
Good News is Bad News for the Fed
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:00 NZD NZIER Business Confidence Q4 -70 -42
23:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Confidence Jan 5.00% 3.00%
02:00 CNY GDP Y/Y Q4 2.90% 1.80% 3.90%
02:00 CNY Industrial Production Y/Y Dec 1.30% 0.30% 2.20%
02:00 CNY Retail Sales Y/Y Dec -1.80% -9.50% -5.90%
02:00 CNY Fixed Asset Investment YTD Y/Y Dec 5.10% 5.00% 5.30%
04:30 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Nov -0.20% 0.20% 0.20% 0.50%
07:00 GBP Claimant Count Change Dec 19.7K 19.8K 30.5K
07:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Nov 3.70% 3.70% 3.70%
07:00 GBP Average Earnings Including Bonus 3M/Y Nov 6.40% 6.10% 6.10%
07:00 GBP Average Earnings Excluding Bonus 3M/Y Nov 6.40% 6.30% 6.10%
07:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Dec F -0.80% -0.80% -0.80%
07:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Dec F 8.60% 8.60% 8.60%
10:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Jan 16.9 -15.5 -23.3
10:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Jan -58.6 -57 -61.4
10:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Jan 16.7 -14.3 -23.6
13:15 CAD Housing Starts Y/Y Dec 249K 265K 264K 263K
13:30 CAD CPI M/M Dec -0.60% -0.60% 0.10%
13:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Dec 6.30% 6.30% 6.80%
13:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Dec 5.00% 4.90% 5.00% 5.10%
13:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Dec 5.30% 5.20% 5.30% 5.40%
13:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Dec 6.60% 6.60% 6.70% 6.80%
13:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Index Jan -32.9 -8.2 -11.2