Yen Reverses Losses on Risk-off Sentiment, Dollar Supported By Yields
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-18-22

Yen Reverses Losses on Risk-off Sentiment, Dollar Supported By Yields

Stocks markets are turning back into risk off mode with US futures pointing to sharply lower open. Yen managed to reverse earlier losses and trading generally higher. Canadian Dollar is also firm as supported by extended rally in oil prices. Dollar is following with some lift by rising treasury yields. On the other hand, Sterling is currently the weakest one, weighed down further by selloff against other Europeans. But Aussie and Kiwi are not to far away.

Technically, we'll pay attention to WTI crude oil today as it's now pressing 85.92 high. We're not expecting a decisive break there. Rejection by this resistance, followed by break of 81.60 support, should trigger near term reversal back towards 73.66 resistance turned support. In this case, we could seen Canadian Dollar reverses too with USD/CAD breaking through 1.2619 resistance. However, strong break of 85.92 will give the Loonie another boost, probably pushing EUR/CAD through 1.4162 low.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.50%. DAX is up 0.86%. CAC is up -0.77%. Germany 10-year yield is flat at -0.023. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.27%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.43%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.80%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.24%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0056 to 0.152.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3624; (P) 1.3657; (R1) 1.3676; More...

GBP/USD's pull back from 1.3748 extended lower today but stays above 1.3489 support. Outlook is unchanged and intraday bias remains neutral first. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.3489 support to bring another rally. As noted before, corrective fall from 1.4282 should have completed with three waves down to 1.3158, after hitting 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level. Above 1.3748 will target 1.3833 first. Sustained break of 1.3833 will pave the way back to retest 1.4248 high.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:00 NZD NZIER Business Confidence Q4 -28 -11
03:00 JPY BoJ Rate Decision -0.10% -0.10% -0.10%
04:30 JPY Industrial Production M/M Nov F 7.00% 7.20% 7.20%
07:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Nov 4.10% 4.20% 4.20%
07:00 GBP Average Earnings Including Bonus 3M/Y Nov 4.20% 4.20% 4.90%
07:00 GBP Average Earnings Excluding Bonus 3M/Y Nov 3.80% 3.80% 4.30%
07:00 GBP Claimant Count Change Dec -43.3K -38.6K -49.8K
07:30 CHF Producer and Import Prices M/M Dec -0.10% 0.40% 0.50%
07:30 CHF Producer and Import Prices Y/Y Dec 5.10% 5.80%
09:00 EUR Italy Trade Balance (EUR) Nov 4.16B 4.23B 3.89B
10:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Jan 51.7 32.7 29.9
10:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Jan -10.2 -7.5 -7.4
10:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Jan 49.4 29.2 26.8
13:15 CAD Housing Starts Dec 236K 234K 301K
13:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Index Jan -0.7 28 31.9
15:00 USD NAHB Housing Market Index Jan 84 84