Dollar Softens after Poor Jobless Claims, Aussie Staying Strong
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-20-22

Dollar Softens after Poor Jobless Claims, Aussie Staying Strong

Dollar turns softer in early US session after much worse than expected jobless claims data. Euro is closely following as next weakest and then Swiss Franc. On the other hand, Australian Dollar is extending post-job data gains. Canadian Dollar is also firm on oil prices. Yen is mixed for the moment as European stock markets are mixed while US futures point to mild recovery at open.

Technically, AUD/CAD appears to be bottoming at 0.8974, just ahead of 0.8969 low, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Further break of 0.9126 resistance should confirmation completion of fall from 0.9301 and bring stronger rise back to this resistance level. If that happens, that would be a signal of a turn in tide between Aussie and Loonie. Also, that could give additional lift to AUD/USD for rising through 0.7313 resistance.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.21%. DAX is up 0.17%. CAC is down -0.24%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0267 at -0.036. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 1.11%. Hong Kong HSI rose 3.42%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.09%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.33%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0078 to 0.145.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 114.09; (P) 114.44; (R1) 114.67; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays mildly on the downside for the moment, for 113.47 support. Break there will resume the fall from 112.52 structural support. Considering bearish divergence condition in in daily MACD, further break of 112.52 will confirm that it's already in correction to the up trend from 102.58. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 116.34 at 111.08. On the upside, break of 115.05 will resume the rebound from 113.47. But a break of 116.34 high is not expected even in this case.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Trade Balance (JPY) Dec -0.44T -0.73T -0.49T -0.47T
00:00 AUD Consumer Inflation Expectations Jan 4.40% 4.80%
00:01 GBP RICS Housing Price Balance Dec 69% 69% 71%
00:30 AUD Employment Change Dec 64.8K 30.0K 366.1K
00:30 AUD Unemployment Rate Dec 4.20% 4.50% 4.60%
07:00 EUR Germany PPI M/M Dec 5.00% 0.90% 0.80%
07:00 EUR Germany PPI Y/Y Dec 24.20% 19.40% 19.20%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Dec F 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Dec F 2.60% 2.60% 2.60%
12:30 EUR ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Jan 14) 286K 215K 230K 231K
13:30 USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Jan 23.2 19.9 15.4
15:00 USD Existing Home Sales Dec 6.49M 6.46M
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -190B -179B
16:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.1M -4.6M