Euro Strengthens on Optimistic PMI Data; Dollar and Yen Under Pressure

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-24-25

Euro Strengthens on Optimistic PMI Data; Dollar and Yen Under Pressure

Euro posted notable gains today as lifted by encouraging Eurozone PMI data that suggests the region is beginning the year on firmer footing. Private sector activity showed cautious growth, with reduced drag from manufacturing and moderate expansion in services. Most surprisingly, Germany, which struggled throughout 2024, returned to expansion. Sterling also gained on better PMI readings even though stagnation risks persist, particularly due to accelerated job cuts in the UK.

Dollar extended its decline as risk-on sentiment dominated markets, despite US equity indices taking a breather after strong rallies earlier this week. The greenback is currently the weakest performer for the day, followed by Yen, which gave back its brief gains following BoJ’s widely anticipated rate hike. The Swiss Franc also underperformed, completing a trio of safe-haven currencies that lagged behind in today’s risk-driven market environment....

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0379; (P) 1.0409; (R1) 1.0445; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside as rebound from 1.1076 is in progress. Strong resistance might be seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.1213 to 1.0176 at 1.0572 to limit upside. Break of 1.0371 minor support will bring retest of 1.0176 low. However, sustained break of 1.0572 will raise the chance of bullish reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0817.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI Jan P 49.8 47.8
22:00 AUD Services PMI Jan P 50.4 50.8
23:30 JPY National CPI Y/Y Dec 3.60% 2.90%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Dec 3.00% 3.00% 2.70%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core-Core Y/Y Dec 2.40% 2.70% 2.40%
00:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Jan -22 -18 -17
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Jan P 48.8 49.7 49.6
00:30 JPY Services PMI Jan P 52.7 50.9
03:23 JPY BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0.50% 0.50% 0.25%
08:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Jan P 45.3 42.1 41.9
08:15 EUR France Services PMI Jan P 48.9 49.4 49.3
08:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Jan P 44.1 42.9 42.5
08:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Jan P 52.5 51.1 51.2
09:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Jan P 46.1 45.3 45.1
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Jan P 51.4 51.4 51.6
09:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Jan P 48.2 46.9 47
09:30 GBP Services PMI Jan P 51.2 50.6 51.1
13:30 CAD New Housing Price Index M/M Dec -0.10% 0.20% 0.10%
14:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Jan P 50.1 49.4
14:45 USD Services PMI Jan P 52.8 56.8
15:00 USD Existing Home Sales M/M Dec 4.24M 4.16M 4.15M
15:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Jan F 71.1 73.2 73.2