Full Risk-On Markets Continues, Yen Continues Downside Acceleration
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-4-22

Full Risk-On Markets Continues, Yen Continues Downside Acceleration

Global financial markets are in full risk-on mode today. Major European indexes are trading higher while US futures indicates that record run is continuing. In the currency markets, Yen's steep selloff continues and looks unstoppable. Dollar is performing well as supported by rally in treasury yields. Euro, on the other hand, is rather weak, in particular against Sterling and Swiss Franc. Commodity currencies are lacking a clear direction.

Technically, even CHF/JPY has also resumed its up trend and hit as high as 126.78 so far. A key focus is now on 61.8% projection of 117.51 to 125.48 from 122.10 at 127.02. Sustained break there could be an indication that Yen's decline is further accelerating, and would set the stage for 100% projection at 130.07.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 1.46%. DAX is up 0.94%. CAC is up 1.43%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0188 at -0.139. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 1.77%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.06%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.20%. Singapore Strait Times rose 1.50%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0168 to 0.089.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.94; (P) 155.44; (R1) 155.97; More...

GBP/JPY's rise from 148.94 resumed after brief retreat and intraday bias is back on the upside. As noted before, correction from 158.19 should have completed with three waves down to 148.94, after defending 148.93 key support. Further rally should be seen back to retest 158.19. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 167.93 long term fibonacci level. On the downside, below 154.86 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
00:01 GBP BRC Shop Price Index Y/Y Nov 0.80% 0.30%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Dec F 54.3 54.2 54.2
01:45 CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI Dec 50.9 50.5 49.9
07:00 EUR Germany Retail Sales M/M Nov 0.60% -0.50% -0.30%
07:30 CHF CPI M/M Dec -0.10% -0.10% 0.00%
07:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Dec 1.50% 1.60% 1.50%
08:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Change Dec -23K -15K -34K
09:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals Nov 67K 66K 67K
09:30 GBP M4 Money Supply M/M Nov 0.70% 0.50% 0.60%
09:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Dec F 57.9 57.6 57.6
13:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M Nov 0.80% 0.90% 1.30%
13:30 CAD Raw Material Price Index Nov -1.00% 0.00% 4.80%
14:30 CAD Manufacturing PMI Dec 57.2
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI Dec 60.2 61.1
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid Dec 79.5 82.4
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment Dec 53.3