Focus Turns to Yen Selling as Treasury Yields Surge
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 1-6-21

Focus Turns to Yen Selling as Treasury Yields Surge

Yen selling takes center stage today, following strong rise in global treasury yields. In particular, US 10-year yield is trading at 0.99 at the time of writing, after hitting 1.037 earlier. Dollar remains generally pressured, and even the recovery against Yen is weak. The surprised contraction in ADP employment is definitely not giving the greenback any support. Australian and New Zealand Dollars are currently the strongest, followed by Euro.

Technically, the rise in treasury yield prompted a relatively sharp pull back in Gold, hitting 1925.53. For now, we're not expecting a break of 1906.74 resistance turned support. But break there could help signal some recovery in Dollar elsewhere. We'll see. Before that, EUR/JPY could be a more immediate focus. Firm break of 127.07/22 resistance will resume larger rise from 114.42 to 128.67 medium term fibonacci resistance.

In Europe, currently, FTSE is up 2.86%. DAX is up 0.91%. CAC is up 0.67%. German 10-year yield is up 0.0206 at -0.551. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.38%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.15%. China Shanghai SE rose 0.63%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.12%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0049 to 0.020.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

Aussie to Gain Further from Global Reflation Theme, Limited Impact from China's Boycott
JPY to Continue Grind against USD on Policy Convergence, Reduced Capital Outflow and Current Account Surplus
Euro to Stay Positive against USD in 2021, though with Upside Limited
Central Bank Views | China Watch | Oil N' Gold | Special Topics

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8768; (P) 0.8792; (R1) 0.8809; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746. Decisive break there will pave the way to long term projection level at 0.8639. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8918 resistance holds, even in case of strong recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
00:01 GBP BRC Shop Price Index Y/Y Nov -1.80% -1.80%
01:45 CNY Caixin Services PMI Dec 56.3 58.1 57.8
05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Index Dec 31.8 32.6 33.7
08:45 EUR Italy Services PMI Dec 39.7 45 39.4
08:50 EUR France Services PMI Dec F 49.1 49.2 49.2
08:55 EUR Germany Services PMI Dec F 47 47.7 47.7
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Dec F 46.4 47.3 47.3
09:30 GBP Services PMI Dec 49.4 49.9 49.9
10:00 EUR PPI M/M Nov 0.40% 0.10% 0.40%
10:00 EUR PPI Y/Y Nov -1.90% -2.20% -2.00%
13:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Dec P 0.50% 0.60% -0.80%
13:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Dec P -0.30% -0.20% -0.30%
13:15 USD ADP Employment Change Dec -123K 75K 307K 304K
14:45 USD Services PMI Dec F 55.3 55.3
15:00 USD Factory Orders M/M Nov 0.70% 1.00%
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.8M -6.1M
19:00 USD FOMC Minutes