Dollar Soars On Strong CPI Again, But Sterling Overwhelms

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-13-22

Dollar Soars On Strong CPI Again, But Sterling Overwhelms

Dollar soars broadly in early US session after stronger than expected consumer inflation reading. Futures tumble while 10-year yield is back pressing 4% handle. Nonetheless, the greenback is overwhelmed by Pound on rumors that UK Prime Minister Liz Truss is going to further backtrack on the mini-budget. The eventual near term fate of Sterling will still depend on the extent Truss is retreating. Australian Dollar is leading commodity currencies lower, followed by Euro and Swiss Franc. Yen is steady overall, except versus Dollar of course.

Technically, 10-year yield is resuming recent up trend. A big question is whether it could stay firm above 4% handle and close the week above there. If that happens, there is prospect of further upside acceleration until FOMC rate decision and release of new economic projection in early November. 61.8% projection of 2.525 to 3.992 from 3.568 at 4.474 is a bit far. But never say never.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -1.40%. DAX is down -0.71%. CAC is down -1.32%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.079 at 2.391. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.60%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -1.87%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.30%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -1.39%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0034 to 0.251.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

AUD/USD Mid-Day Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6242; (P) 0.6271; (R1) 0.6305; More...

AUD/USD's decline extends today and intraday bias remains on the downside. Next target is 100% projection of 0.7660 to 0.6680 from 0.7135 at 0.6155. Firm break there will pave the way to 0.5781. On the upside, above 0.6345 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.6539 resistance holds.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

EUR/USD: Don't Be Fooled by Slight Dollar Weakness

AUDUSD Slumps to 29-Month Low as Outlook Deteriorates

GBPAUD Wave Analysis

Silver Wave Analysis

WTI Crude Oil Finds Resistance at Downtrend Line, Meeting 50-Day SMA

GBP/JPY: Intermediate Double Zigzag Likely to Complete Cycle Trend Near 176.25

 

 

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
What's Next for Japan and the Yen?
What Will It Take for the US Dollar to Lose its Crown?
Q4 Outlook: What to Expect this Quarter
Update to Our Fed Funds Forecast: When the Facts Change, We Change Our Minds
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:01 GBP RICS Housing Price Balance Sep 32% 48% 53% 51%
23:50 JPY Bank Lending Y/Y Sep 2.30% 2.20% 1.90%
23:50 JPY PPI Y/Y Sep 9.70% 8.80% 9.00% 9.40%
00:00 AUD Consumer Inflation Expectations Oct 5.40% 5.40%
06:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Sep F 1.90% 1.90% 1.90%
06:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Sep F 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 7) 228K 225K 219K
12:30 USD CPI M/M Sep 0.40% 0.20% 0.10%
12:30 USD CPI Y/Y Sep 8.20% 8.10% 8.30%
12:30 USD CPI Core M/M Sep 0.60% 0.50% 0.60%
12:30 USD CPI Core Y/Y Sep 6.60% 6.50% 6.30%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 126B 129B
15:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories 0.9M -1.4M