Dollar Rallies as Thin Liquidity Fuels Gains

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-14-24

Dollar Rallies as Thin Liquidity Fuels Gains

Dollar is broadly stronger today in what is otherwise a quiet trading session. With US markets closed for holiday, overall activity has been subdued. However, Dollar bulls seem to be taking advantage of the thinner liquidity to push the greenback higher. The anticipation of further interest rate cuts from ECB this week, and more to come, is providing additional support for Dollar. Additionally, the lack of clarity surrounding China’s fiscal stimulus continues to weigh on the Aussie and Kiwi, keeping both on the back foot.

In addition to ECB rate cut, attention is also on the UK, where a series of key economic releases are due throughout the week. Tomorrow's employment and wage growth data kick off a lineup that also includes Wednesday’s CPI report and Friday's retail sales figures. These indicators will be closely watched by market participants as they assess the potential for further rate cuts from the BoE. The BoE has been grappling with a split within its Monetary Policy Committee, with some members extended easing to counter slowing economy, while others advocate a more cautious approach.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.58; (P) 148.94; (R1) 149.46; More...

USD/JPY's rise from 139.57 resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside, This rally is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 161.94, and should target 61.8% retracement of 161.94 to 139.57 at 153.39 next. On the downside, below 148.25 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 NZD Business NZ PSI Sep 45.7 45.5 45.7
06:30 CHF Producer and Import Prices M/M Sep -0.10% 0.10% 0.20%
06:30 CHF Producer and Import Prices Y/Y Sep -1.30% -1.20%
08:12 CNY Trade Balance (USD) Sep 81.7B 91.5B 91.0B