Sterling Weak as BoE Rate Cut Odds Rise, But Downside Limited for Now

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-16-24

Sterling Weak as BoE Rate Cut Odds Rise, But Downside Limited for Now

Sterling is currently the weakest performer in today’s trading, though selling pressure remains somewhat contained for now. Weaker-than-expected inflation data from the UK further strengthened the case for BoE to cut interest rates in November. More critically, markets are now pricing in a higher probability of another back-to-back rate cut in December. Interest rate futures reflect a 90% chance of two 25bps cuts by the end of the year, aligning with BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's remarks about taking a "more activist" approach to monetary easing.

In the broader forex market, Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar are following Sterling's weakness. Both currencies are anticipating impacts from tomorrow’s joint press conference featuring China’s Housing Ministry, Finance Minister, People's Bank of China, and National Financial Regulatory Administration. Speculation is building that the Chinese government would announce new support measures to aid the struggling housing market....

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3039; (P) 1.3071; (R1) 1.3106; More...

GBP/USD is still defending 1.3000 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2298 to 1.3433 at 1.2999) for now. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2999/3000 will argue that whole rise from 1.2298 has complete,d and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2732. Nevertheless, strong bounce from current level, followed by break of 1.3102 minor resistance, will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound towards 1.3433.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

XAU/USD Outlook: Bulls Hold Grip for Retest of New Record High

GBP/USD: Dips Below 1.3000 on Weaker Than Expected UK CPI Numbers

Pound Suppressed by Weak Inflation

SPX 500: First Sign of Volatility Detected

EUR/USD Continues Downward Amid Economic Uncertainties

GBP/USD Drops Below 1.30 on Soft Inflation Report

Crypto Market Trying to Form an Uptrend

NZDUSD Opens the Way for More Losses

Nasdaq Futures (NQ) Favoring Upside Due to 5 Swing Elliott Wave Sequence

An Easier Path For Bank of Canada Monetary Policy

This Time Is Not Different For China

NZ CPI Review: The Inflation Dragon is Back in Its Cave

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
This Time Is Not Different For China
alt
What’s in Store for Gold in Q4?
alt
Is China Circumventing U.S. Tariffs?
alt
China - Lift to GDP Forecast After Leaders Draw Line in the Sand
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD New Zealand CPI Q/Q Q3 0.60% 0.70% 0.40%
21:45 NZD New Zealand CPI Y/Y Q3 2.20% 2.20% 3.30%
23:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Sep 0.00% -0.10% 0.00%
23:50 JPY Machinery Orders M/M Aug -1.90% -0.10% -0.10%
06:00 GBP CPI M/M Sep 0.00% 0.10% 0.30%
06:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Sep 1.70% 1.90% 2.20%
06:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Sep 3.20% 3.40% 3.60%
06:00 GBP RPI M/M Sep -0.30% 0.10% 0.60%
06:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Sep 2.70% 3.10% 3.50%
06:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Sep -1.00% -0.50% -0.50%
06:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Sep -2.30% -2.20% -1.20% -1.00%
06:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Sep -0.50% -0.30% -0.30%
06:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Sep -0.70% -0.60% 0.20%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Sep 0.00% 0.10%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Sep 1.40% 1.30%