Sterling Retreats after CPI, Euro and Swiss Franc Lower Too
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-20-21

Sterling Retreats after CPI, Euro and Swiss Franc Lower Too

European majors turn generally softer today, in particular, with Sterling paring some gains after strong but lower than expected consumer inflation data. Dollar also weakens with treasury yield dipping slightly while Yen is trying to recover. But overall, Kiwi and Aussie maintain their position as the best performer. US futures are pointing to a flat open but buyers could jump in again later in the day. Development in the stock markets should continue to lead currencies.

Technically, USD/JPY continues to lose upside momentum just ahead of 114.71 fibonacci projection level. Break of 113.87 minor support should indicate short term topping and bring deeper pull back to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 113.49) and below. If that happens, we'll see if EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY would break 132.13 and 156.58 support levels together. Together, they would signal that Yen crosses are generally turning into near term consolidations after recent strong rallies.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.07%. DAX is down -0.11%. CAC is down -0.01%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0205 at -0.123. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.14%. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.35%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.17%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.03%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0048 to 0.095.

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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3733; (P) 1.3783; (R1) 1.3842; More...

A temporary top is formed at 1.3833 in GBP/USD with current retreat and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations could be seen. But further rise is in favor as long as 1.3646 support holds. Above 1.3833 will resume the rebound from 1.3410 to 1.3912 key structural resistance. Firm break there will indicate that the correction from 1.4248 is complete with three waves down to 1.3410. Further rally would then be seen to retest 1.4248 high. However, break of 1.3646 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.3410 low.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Sep 0.00% -0.30%
23:50 JPY Trade Balance (JPY) Sep -0.62T -0.53T -0.27T -0.34T
06:00 EUR Germany PPI M/M Sep 2.30% 1.00% 1.50%
06:00 EUR Germany PPI Y/Y Sep 14.20% 12.70% 12.00%
06:00 GBP CPI M/M Sep 0.30% 0.40% 0.70%
06:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Sep 3.10% 3.20% 3.20%
06:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Sep 2.90% 3.10% 3.10%
06:00 GBP RPI M/M Sep 0.40% 0.20% 0.60%
06:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Sep 4.90% 4.70% 4.80%
06:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Sep 0.40% 0.80% 0.40% 0.50%
06:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Sep 11.40% 11.60% 11.00% 11.20%
06:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Sep 0.50% 0.90% 0.70%
06:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Sep 6.70% 6.80% 5.90% 6.00%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Sep 0.50% 0.90% 1.00% 0.90%
06:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Sep 5.90% 5.80% 5.30% 5.40%
08:00 EUR Eurozone Current Account (EUR) Aug 13.4B 24.3B 21.6B
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Sep F 3.40% 3.40% 3.40%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Sep F 1.90% 1.90% 1.90%
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Sep 0.20% 0.10% 0.20%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Sep 4.40% 4.30% 4.10%
12:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Sep 1.80% 1.90% 1.80%
12:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Sep 2.80% 2.60% 2.60%
12:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Sep 3.40% 3.30% 3.30%
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 2.1M 6.1M
18:00 USD Fed's Beige Book