Dollar Rebounds, Aussie Weakens ahead of RBA

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-31-22

Dollar Rebounds, Aussie Weakens ahead of RBA

Dollar rebounds broadly today as US futures turn south, pointing to a lower open. Yen is back under some selling pressure. But Euro is also weak despite stronger than expected consumer inflation data, while Sterling and Swiss Franc are also soft. Commodity currencies are mixed with Canadian Dollar on the weaker side. But overall, traders are probably just repositioning ahead of RBA, FOMC and BoE rate decisions.

Technically, with Dollar's rebound, one immediate focus is now on 0.6371 minor support in AUD/USD. Break will indicate that rebound from 0.6169 has completed and bring retest of this low. The move could come as reaction to RBA rate decision, or even before. And, if happens, that could be a pre-signal of more upside in the greenback.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.22%. DAX is up 0.24%. CAC is down -0.16%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.01 at 2.110. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 1.78%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -1.18%. China shanghai SSE dropped -0.77%. Singapore Strait Times rose 1.11%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0027 to 0.245.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9930; (P) 0.9964; (R1) 1.0001; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is in favor as long as 0.9847 minor support holds. Break of 1.0092 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.1494 to 0.9534 at 1.0283. However, break of 0.9847 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9534/9630 support zone instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Sep P -1.60% -1.00% 3.40%
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y Sep 4.50% 4.10% 4.10%
00:00 AUD TD Securities Inflation M/M Oct 0.40% 0.50%
00:30 AUD Private Sector Credit M/M Sep 0.70% 0.80% 0.80%
00:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Sep 0.60% 0.60% 0.60%
01:00 CNY Manufacturing PMI Oct 49.2 50 50.1
01:00 CNY Non-Manufacturing PMI Oct 48.7 50.2 50.6
05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Oct 29.9 31.5 30.8
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Sep 1.00% 2.30% 4.60%
07:00 EUR Germany Retail Sales M/M Sep 0.90% -0.50% -1.30% -1.40%
07:30 CHF Real Retail Sales Y/Y Sep 3.20% 3.30% 3.00%
09:00 EUR Italy GDP Q/Q Q3 P 0.50% -0.10% 1.10%
09:30 GBP M4 Money Supply M/M Sep 2.10% 0.10% -0.20% -0.10%
09:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals Sep 67K 66K 74K
10:00 EUR Eurozone GDP Q/Q Q3 P 0.20% 0.10% 0.80%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Oct P 10.70% 9.90% 10.00% 9.90%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Oct P 5.00% 4.80% 4.80%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI Oct 47.1 45.7