Euro Rebounding Higher, Eyes Parity With Dollar

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-4-22

Euro Rebounding Higher, Eyes Parity With Dollar

European majors are trading generally higher today, as led by Euro this time. In particular, Euro looks set to reclaim parity against Dollar with current rebound. On the other hand, commodity currencies are trading lower together with Yen. Aussie is under renewed selling pressure, as traders continue to assess RBA's smaller than expected rate hike. Meanwhile, Kiwi is also weak ahead of tomorrow's RBNZ rate decision. A 50bps is expected for RBNZ, but could they miss? Dollar is mixed for now, with traders continue to lighten up long position. The greenback will need some support from ISM services tomorrow and NFP on Friday, if it is to resume recent up trend.

Technically, Gold is also worth a watch today, as it's heading back to 55 day EMA (now at 1718.59), which is close to medium term channel resistance. Sustained break there will confirm medium term bottoming at 1614.60, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Strong rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 2070.06 to 1614.60 at 1788.58, even as a corrective rise.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 2.04%. DAX is up 2.84%. CAC is up 3.35%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0487 at 1.864. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 2.96%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0125 to 0.232. Singapore Strait Times rose 1.02%. China and Hong Kong were on holiday.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9770; (P) 0.9808; (R1) 0.9862; More...

With break of 0.9863 support turned resistance, intraday bias in EUR/USD is back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0033). Considering bullish convergence condition in Daily MACD, sustained break there will raise the chance of medium term bottoming at 0.9534. Further rally should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1494 to 0.9534 at 1.0283. On the downside, though, break of 0.9734 minor support will bring retest of 0.9534 low instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:00 NZD NZIER Business Confidence Q3 -42 -65
21:30 AUD AiG Performance of Mfg Index Sep 50.2 49.3
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Sep 2.80% 2.80% 2.60%
23:50 JPY Monetary Base Y/Y Sep -3.30% 0.60% 0.40%
00:30 AUD Building Permits M/M Aug 28.10% 9.00% -17.20% -18.20%
03:30 AUD RBA Interest Rate Decision 2.60% 2.85% 2.35%
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI M/M Aug 5.00% 4.90% 4.00%
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI Y/Y Aug 43.30% 43.20% 37.90% 38.00%
14:00 USD Factory Orders M/M Aug 0.30% -1.00%