Dollar Jumps after Strong NFP, Traders Abandon Bets on 50bps Fed Cut

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-4-24

Dollar Jumps after Strong NFP, Traders Abandon Bets on 50bps Fed Cut

payroll report. The data showed much higher-than-anticipated job growth, a slight decrease in unemployment rate, and an acceleration in wage growth. This robust set of figures has led traders to largely abandon bets on a 50bps rate cut by Fed in November. Fed funds futures now reflect nearly a 90% probability of a 25bps cut instead.

Meanwhile, stock investors seem unfazed by the reduced chances of a larger rate cut. Stock futures climbed as investors welcomed the strong jobs growth, while bond markets saw an outflow of funds, pushing 10-year yield past 3.9% level and heading toward 4%....

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1008; (P) 1.1030; (R1) 1.1052; More....

EUR/USD's break of 1.1001 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0665 to 1.1213 at 1.1004) argues that whole rally from 1.0665 has completed at 1.1213. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% retracement at 1.0874 and possibly below. On the upside, above 1.1039 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

USD/JPY Technical: Recent Mean Reversion Eebound in US Dollar Strength May Have Hit a Ceiling

EUR/USD Outlook: Bears Hold Grip and Pressure Key 1.1000 Support Zone Ahead of US Labor Data

USDCAD Holds on Recovery Action as NFP Report Awaited

Crypto Market Awaits News

EUR/USD Hits Three-Week Low Amid ECB Easing Expectations

AUDUSD Pauses Bullish Rally for a While

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
Is China Circumventing U.S. Tariffs?
alt
China - Lift to GDP Forecast After Leaders Draw Line in the Sand
alt
European Central Banks Quickening Pace Of Their Monetary Easing
alt
Carry Trade to Give Way to Longer-Term Investment in Asian Growth
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
05:45 CHF Unemployment Rate M/M Sep 2.60% 2.60% 2.50%
06:45 EUR France Industrial Output M/M Aug 1.40% 0.40% -0.50% 0.20%
08:30 GBP Construction PMI Sep 57.2 53.1 53.6
12:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls Sep 254K 147K 142K 159K
12:30 USD Unemployment Rate Sep 4.10% 4.20% 4.20%
12:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings M/M Sep 0.40% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50%
14:00 CAD Ivey PMI Sep 50.3 48.2