Sterling Rises in Stable Markets, Euro and Swiss Franc Soft
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-5-21

Sterling Rises in Stable Markets, Euro and Swiss Franc Soft

Market sentiment is stable today, with European index trading mildly higher while US futures point to a rebound. But overall direction remains rather unclear. Sterling is currently the stronger one, with additional help from buying against other European majors. Kiwi is also firmer, awaiting tomorrow's RBNZ rate hike, followed by Dollar. On the other hand, Swiss Franc, Yen and Euro are the softer ones. Aussie is mixed after an uneventful RBA decision earlier in the day.

Technically, we'll keep an eye on Sterling again. In particular, EUR/GBP is heading closer to 0.8499 near term support. Firm break there will indicate completion of rebound from 0.8448 and bring retest of this low. Such development would also reaffirm medium term bearishness after prior rejection by 0.8668 resistance. GBP/JPY is also heading towards 152.54 resistance. Firm break there will suggest completion of correction from 156.05, after multiple test on 149.03 key support. Stronger rise would be seen back towards 156.05 high next.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.58%. DAX is up 0.37%. CAC is up 0.79%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0039 at -0.209. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -2.19%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.28%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.70%. Japan 10-year JGB rose 0.0058 to 0.057. China was on holiday.

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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3547; (P) 1.3594; (R1) 1.3655; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains mildly on the upside at this point. Rebound from 1.3410 short term bottom would target 1.3749 resistance first, which is close to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3745). On the downside, though, below 1.3530 minor support will retain near term bearishness, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3410 low. Firm break there will extend the fall from 1.4248 and target 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level next.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 AUD AiG Performance of Construction Index Sep 53.3 38.4
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Sep 0.10% 0.20% 0.00%
00:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Aug 15.08B 10.10B 12.12B 12.69B
03:30 AUD RBA Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
06:45 EUR France Industrial Output M/M Aug 1.00% 0.40% 0.30% 0.50%
07:50 EUR France Services PMI Sep F 56.2 56 56
07:55 EUR Germany Services PMI Sep F 56.2 56 56
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Sep F 56.4 56.3 56.3
08:30 GBP Services PMI Sep F 55.4 54.6 54.6
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI M/M Aug 1.10% 1.30% 2.30% 2.50%
09:00 EUR Eurozone PPI Y/Y Aug 13.40% 13.50% 12.10% 12.40%
12:30 CAD Trade Balance (CAD) Aug 1.9B 0.3B 0.8B 0.7B
12:30 USD Trade Balance (USD) Aug -73.3B -70.5B -70.1B -70.3B
13:45 USD Services PMI Sep F 54.4 54.4
14:00 USD ISM Services PMI Sep 59.8 61.7
14:00 USD ISM Services Employment Index Sep 53.7