Dollar Holds Weekly Lead Despite Fading Momentum Amid Mixed Retail Data

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 11-15-24

Dollar Holds Weekly Lead Despite Fading Momentum Amid Mixed Retail Data

Dollar is trading slightly lower as the market enters the final US session of the week, with mixed US retail sales data failing to provide fresh momentum for the greenback. The currency appears to be taking a breather as the initial impact of the "Trump Trade" begins to fade. Meanwhile, the likelihood of another rate cut next month has diminished, with futures markets pricing in around a 60% chance. This growing uncertainty adds to the Dollar's lack of immediate direction. In the absence of new political developments, the greenback may enter a consolidation phase until early December when significant economic data releases are expected to provide new catalysts.

Despite the current softness, Dollar remains the strongest performer for the week, followed by Canadian Dollar and Euro. Japanese Yen has moved up slightly but remains the second weakest currency. British Pound has fallen to the position of the worst performer following weaker-than-expected UK GDP data released today. Australian Dollar is the third weakest, with New Zealand Dollar not far behind. Swiss Franc is trading in the middle range....

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0490; (P) 1.0536; (R1) 1.0576; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral for consolidations above 1.0495 temporary low. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0760 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, firm break of 100% projection of 1.1213 to 1.0760 from 1.0936 at 1.0483 will target 1.0404 key fibonacci level next.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:30 NZD Business NZ PMI Oct 45.8 46.9 47
23:50 JPY GDP Q/Q Q3 P 0.20% 0.20% 0.70%
23:50 JPY GDP Deflator Y/Y Q3 P 2.50% 2.90% 3.20%
02:00 CNY Industrial Production Y/Y Oct 5.30% 5.40% 5.40%
02:00 CNY Retail Sales Y/Y Oct 4.80% 3.80% 3.20%
02:00 CNY Fixed Asset Investment YTD Y/Y Oct 3.40% 3.50% 3.40%
04:30 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Sep -0.20% 0.20% -1.10%
04:30 JPY Industrial Production M/M Sep F 1.60% 1.40% 1.40%
07:00 GBP GDP M/M Sep -0.10% 0.20% 0.20%
07:00 GBP GDP Q/Q Q3 P 0.10% 0.20% 0.50%
07:00 GBP Industrial Production M/M Sep -0.50% 0.20% 0.50%
07:00 GBP Industrial Production Y/Y Sep -1.80% -1.20% -1.60% -1.70%
07:00 GBP Manufacturing Production M/M Sep -1.00% 0.00% 1.10% 1.30%
07:00 GBP Manufacturing Production Y/Y Sep -0.70% 0.10% -0.30%
07:00 GBP Goods Trade Balance (GBP) Sep -16.3B -16.5B -15.1B -15.2B
07:30 CHF PPI M/M Oct -0.30% 0.10% -0.10%
07:30 CHF PPI Y/Y Oct -1.80% -1.30%
13:30 CAD Manufacturing Sales M/M Sep -0.50% -0.70% -1.30%
13:30 CAD Wholesale Sales M/M Sep 0.80% 0.20% -0.60%
13:30 USD Empire State Manufacturing Index Nov 31.2 3.6 -11.9
13:30 USD Retail Sales M/M Oct 0.40% 0.30% 0.40%
13:30 USD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Oct 0.10% 0.20% 0.50%
13:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Oct 0.30% -0.10% -0.40%
14:15 USD Industrial Production M/M Oct -0.20% -0.30%
14:15 USD Capacity Utilization Oct 77.10% 77.50%
15:00 USD Business Inventories Sep 0.20% 0.30%