Sterling Jumps on Strong CPI, Euro Selloff Continues
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 11-17-21

Sterling Jumps on Strong CPI, Euro Selloff Continues

Sterling jumps broadly today after much stronger than expected consumer inflation data, that raises the chance that BoE will "have to act" on interest rates soon. On the other hand, Canadian Dollar shrugs off strong, but inline with expectation CPI. Dollar is still among the strongest for the week, but it's apparently taking a breather for now. On the other hand, Euro is the worst performing, on expectation that ECB will lag behind other central banks in stimulus removal.

Technically, we'd continue to focus on EUR/USD's reaction to 1.1289 long term fibonacci support. Sustained trading below this level will carry larger bearish implication and would bring even deeper down trend to 1.0635 (2020 low). Nevertheless, rebound from current level, followed by break of 1.1384 minor resistance, will indicate that selling pressure has eased, at least temporarily. And EUR/USD would then start to build a bottom.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.42%. DAX is up 0.11%. CAC is up 0.06%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0036 at -0.237. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.40%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.25%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.44%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.19%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0012 to 0.074.

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EUR/GBP Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8410; (P) 0.8447; (R1) 0.8466; More...

EUR/GBP's break of 0.8401 support indicates resumption of larger down trend from 0.9499. Intraday bias stays on the downside. Deeper fall would now be seen towards 0.8276 long term support next. On the upside, however, break of 0.8460 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
21:45 NZD PPI Input Q/Q Q3 1.60% 1.70% 3.00%
21:45 NZD PPI Output Q/Q Q3 1.80% 1.40% 2.60%
23:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Oct 0.20% 0.00%
23:50 JPY Machinery Orders M/M Sep 0.00% 1.80% -2.40%
00:30 AUD Wage Price Index Q/Q Q3 0.60% 0.50% 0.40%
07:00 GBP CPI M/M Oct 1.10% 0.80% 0.30%
07:00 GBP CPI Y/Y Oct 4.20% 3.80% 3.10%
07:00 GBP Core CPI Y/Y Oct 3.40% 3.00% 2.90%
07:00 GBP RPI M/M Oct 1.10% 1.00% 0.40%
07:00 GBP RPI Y/Y Oct 6.00% 5.60% 4.90%
07:00 GBP PPI Input M/M Oct 1.40% 1.10% 0.40% 0.80%
07:00 GBP PPI Input Y/Y Oct 13.00% 11.60% 11.40% 11.90%
07:00 GBP PPI Output M/M Oct 1.10% 0.70% 0.50% 0.70%
07:00 GBP PPI Output Y/Y Oct 8.00% 6.80% 6.70% 7.00%
07:00 GBP PPI Core Output M/M Oct 0.70% 0.70% 0.50% 0.60%
07:00 GBP PPI Core Output Y/Y Oct 6.50% 6.50% 5.90% 6.00%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Oct F 4.10% 4.10% 4.10%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Oct F 2.00% 2.10% 2.10%
13:30 CAD CPI M/M Oct 0.70% 0.70% 0.20%
13:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Oct 4.70% 4.70% 4.40%
13:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Oct 1.80% 1.90% 1.80%
13:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Oct 2.90% 2.90% 2.80%
13:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Oct 3.30% 3.40% 3.40%
13:30 USD Building Permits Oct 1.65M 1.63M 1.59M
13:30 USD Housing Starts Oct 1.52M 1.58M 1.56M 1.53M
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 1.0M 1.0M