Euro Recovering in Crosses, But Not Out of the Woods Yet
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 11-18-21

Euro Recovering in Crosses, But Not Out of the Woods Yet

The forex markets are a bit mixed today while trading is subdued. New Zealand Dollar stays as the strongest on RBNZ rate hike expectations. Swiss Franc and Euro are following, primarily thanks to recovery against Sterling. Yen is currently the weakest one for the day, followed by the Pound and then Canadian. But the weekly picture is unchanged, with Sterling and Dollar as strongest, Euro and Aussie as weakest.

Technically, while Euro recovers against Yen, Sterling, Aussie and Canadian, it's not totally out of the woods against Dollar and Swiss Franc. We'd firstly watch 1.1262 temporary low in EUR/USD and 1.0505 key support in EUR/CHF. Firm break there could indicate resumption of broad based selloff in Euro. On the other hand, break of 1.1384 minor resistance in EUR/USD and 1.0596 minor resistance in EUR/CHF would argue that Euro has found a bottom already, at least for the near term. More short covering would likely follow.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.23%. DAX is down -0.07%. CAC is up 0.10%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0216 at -0.265. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.30%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -1.29%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.47%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.13%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0092 to 0.084.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1281; (P) 1.1306; (R1) 1.1349; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment, with focus staying on 1.1289 long term fibonacci level. Sustained break there will carry larger bearish implication, and extend the fall from 1.2348 to 161.8% projection of 1.1908 to 1.1523 from 1.1691 at 1.1068. On the upside, above 1.1384 indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
02:00 NZD RBNZ Inflation Expectations Q/Q Q4 2.96% 2.27%
07:00 CHF Trade Balance(CHF) Oct 5.65B 4.90B 5.05B
13:30 CAD Foreign Securities Purchases (CAD) Sep 20.02B 20.05B 26.30B
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 12) 268K 260K 267K 269K
13:30 USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Nov 39 21.5 23.8
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 25B 7B