Yen and Franc Consolidate as Market Sentiment Stabilized for Now
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 11-29-21

Yen and Franc Consolidate as Market Sentiment Stabilized for Now

The forex markets are staying in consolidative mode today as overall market sentiment stabilized. Major European indexes are paring some of last week's losses while US futures also point to higher open. But it remains to be seen if it's just a dead cat bounce, or a reversal. Canadian and Australian Dollar are currently the stronger ones for today, while Euro, Yen and Swiss Franc are the softest.

Technically, in addition to Yen crosses, we'd also pay attention to Franc crosses to gauge overall sentiment. In particular, GBP/CHF is now close to 1.2259 key resistance turned support level. Sustained break of this level will argue that medium term rise from 1.1107 is finished and could prompt downside acceleration. Nevertheless, rebound from current level, followed by break of 1.2549 resistance will turn near term outlook bullish again.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 1.35%. DAX is up 0.73%. CAC is up 1.23%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0392 at -0.295. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -1.63%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.95%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.04%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -1.44%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0028 to 0.074.

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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.48; (P) 113.92; (R1) 114.79; More...

No change in USD/JPY's outlook and intraday bias remains on the downside for 112.71 support. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 115.51 is already correcting whole rise from 102.58. Deeper decline would then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 115.51 at 110.57. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 115.51 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

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EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y Sep 0.90% 1.10% -0.50%
00:30 AUD Company Gross Operating Profits Q/Q Q3 4.00% 3.00% 7.10%
09:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals Oct 67.199K 71.250K 72.645K
09:30 GBP M4 Money Supply M/M Oct 0.60% 0.50% 0.60% 0.70%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Nov 117.5 117.5 118.6
10:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence Nov 14.1 13.9 14.2
10:00 EUR Eurozone Services Sentiment Nov 18.4 16.3 18.2 18
10:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Nov F -6.8 -6.8 -6.8 -4.8
13:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Nov P -0.20% -0.50% 0.50%
13:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Nov P 5.20% 5.00% 4.50%
13:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M Oct 1.00%
13:30 CAD Raw Material Price Index Oct 2.50%
13:30 CAD Current Account (CAD) Q3 4.4B 3.6B
15:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M Oct 1.00% -2.30%