Sterling Dives after Dovish BoE Hike, Dollar Accelerates up

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 11-3-22

Sterling Dives after Dovish BoE Hike, Dollar Accelerates up

Sterling dives sharply after dovish BoE rate hike, which saw two doves dissented. Aussie and Kiwi are following as next weakest as risk-off sentiment persists. Dollar's post-FOMC rally is accelerating, partly supported by expectation of a higher terminal rate for Fed, and partly by risk aversion. Yen is following as next strongest, and then Canadian, while Euro and Swiss Franc are mixed.

Technically, as Sterling's selloff picks up, focus will be on 0.8779 minor resistance in EUR/GBP, 164.95 minor support in GBP/JPY, and 1.1283 resistance turned support in GBP/CHF. Firm break of these levels will at least trigger squaring of position built up from the spike low during Liz Truss's era in September. In particular, for GBP/CHF, that would set up deeper decline to 1.0893 support.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.72%. DAX is down -1.67%. CAC is down -1.27%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.143 at 2.281. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.06%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -3.08%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.19%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -1.23%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0052 to 0.247.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1330; (P) 1.1447; (R1) 1.1507; More...

GBP/USD's break of 1.1256 suggests that rebound from 1.0351 has completed with three waves up to 1.1644, ahead of 1.1759 support turned resistance. The development retains larger bearishness. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.0922 support first. Break there will target a retest on 1.0351 low. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1644 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
00:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Sep 12.44B 9.00B 8.32B 8.66B
01:45 CNY Caixin Services PMI Oct 48.4 49.2 49.3
07:30 CHF CPI M/M Oct 0.10% 0.20% -0.20%
07:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Oct 3.00% 3.20% 3.30%
09:30 GBP Services PMI Oct F 48.8 47.5 47.5
10:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate Sep 6.60% 6.60% 6.60% 6.70%
11:30 USD Challenger Job Cuts Y/Y Oct 48.30% 67.60%
12:00 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision 3.00% 3.00% 2.25%
12:00 GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 9--0--0 9--0--0 9--0--0
12:30 CAD Building Permits M/M Sep -17.50% -4.90% 11.90%
12:30 CAD Trade Balance (CAD) Sep 1.1B 1.1B 1.5B
12:30 USD Trade Balance (USD) Sep -73.3B -70.3B -67.4B -65.7B
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 28) 217K 215K 217K 218K
12:30 USD Nonfarm Productivity Q3 P 0.30% -0.10% -4.10%
12:30 USD Unit Labor Costs Q3 P 3.50% 4.00% 10.20%
13:45 USD Services PMI Oct F 46.6 46.6
14:00 USD ISM Services PMI Oct 55.2 56.7
14:00 USD Factory Orders M/M Sep 0.30% 0.00%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 99B 52B