Risk Selloff Resumes on Omicron, Dollar Vulnerable Against Euro and Yen
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 11-30-21

Risk Selloff Resumes on Omicron, Dollar Vulnerable Against Euro and Yen

Selloff in stock markets resume today, after Moderna Chief Executive Stéphane Bancel foresaw "material drop" in effectiveness of current vaccines on Omicron. Benchmark treasury yields also tumble sharply on safe haven flows. In the currency markets, Canadian Dollar lead commodity currencies lower, as oil price tumble. Dollar is dragged down by steep falling in treasury yield. At the same time, Yen, Swiss Franc and Euro are the strongest.

Technically, EUR/USD is finally making some concrete progress, pressing 1.1373 minor resistance. Firm break there will confirm short term bottoming at 1.1185 and bring stronger rise back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.1518). At the same time, USD/JPY is also pressing 112.71 structural support. Sustained break there will bring larger scale correction.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.85%. DAX is down -1.07%. CAC is down -1.03%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.039 at -0.355. Earlier in Asian, Nikkei dropped -1.63%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -1.58%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.03%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -2.54%. Japan 10-yaer JGB yield dropped -0.0157 to 0.059.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

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Central Bank Views | China Watch | Oil N' Gold | Special Topics

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.03; (P) 113.50; (R1) 114.00; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside with focus on 112.71 support. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 115.51 is already correcting whole rise from 102.58. Deeper decline would then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 115.51 at 110.57. On the upside, above 113.94 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 115.51 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate Oct 2.70% 2.80% 2.80%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Oct P 1.10% 1.80% -5.40%
00:00 NZD ANZ Business Confidence Nov F -16.4 -18.1
00:30 AUD Current Account Balance (AUD) Q3 23.9B 27.8B 20.5B 22.9B
00:30 AUD Private Sector Credit M/M Oct 0.50% 0.60% 0.60%
00:30 AUD Building Permits M/M Oct -12.90% -2.00% -4.30% -3.90%
01:00 CNY Manufacturing PMI Nov 50.1 49.6 49.2
01:00 CNY Non-Manufacturing PMI Nov 52.3 53 52.4
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Oct 10.40% 5.20% 4.30%
07:45 EUR France Consumer Spending M/M Oct -0.40% 0.30% -0.20% 0.20%
07:45 EUR France GDP Q/Q Q3 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%
08:00 CHF KOF Leading Indicator Nov 108.5 109 110.7
08:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Change Nov -34K -20K -39K
08:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Rate Nov 5.30% 5.30% 5.40%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Nov P 4.90% 4.40% 4.10%
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Nov P 2.60% 2.30% 2.00%
13:30 CAD GDP M/M Sep 0.10% 0.10% 0.40%
14:00 USD S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI Y/Y Sep 20.00% 19.70%
14:00 USD Housing Price Index M/M Sep 1.20% 1.00%
14:45 USD Chicago PMI Nov 67.2 68.4
15:00 USD Consumer Confidence Nov 110.8 113.8